EGU26-11539, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11539
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Friday, 08 May, 09:25–09:35 (CEST)
 
Room 0.94/95
Towards a fully automated end-to-end pipeline for short-term CME magnetic field forecasting
Hannah Theresa Rüdisser1,2, Emma E. Davies1, Ute V. Amerstorfer1, Eva Weiler1,2, Andreas J. Weiss3,4, Martin A. Reiss5,6, Justin Le Louëdec1, Gautier Nguyen7, and Christian Möstl1
Hannah Theresa Rüdisser et al.
  • 1Austrian Space Weather Office, GeoSphere Austria, Graz, Austria
  • 2Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria
  • 3Goddard Planetary Heliophysics Institute, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD 21250, USA
  • 4Heliophysics Science Division, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
  • 5Community Coordinated Modeling Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, 8800 Greenbelt Rd., Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
  • 6Universities Space Research Association, Washington, DC, USA
  • 7DPHY, ONERA, Université de Toulouse, F-31000, Toulouse, France

We present a fully automated end-to-end pipeline for operational short-term forecasting of the in situ magnetic structure of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at Earth. Triggered by new events in the NASA/CCMC DONKI catalog, the system couples ensemble arrival time predictions using ELEvo with deep-learning-based in situ detection of magnetic obstacles (ARCANE), and iterative flux rope reconstruction using the semi-empirical 3DCORE model. As more real-time L1 solar wind data becomes available, the pipeline continuously updates forecasts of the remaining CME magnetic field profile. Using archived real-time data, we evaluate the pipeline under operational constraints and analyze how reconstruction quality evolves as a function of available data, providing insight into capabilities and limitations of fully automated real-time CME magnetic field reconstruction for space weather forecasting.

How to cite: Rüdisser, H. T., Davies, E. E., Amerstorfer, U. V., Weiler, E., Weiss, A. J., Reiss, M. A., Le Louëdec, J., Nguyen, G., and Möstl, C.: Towards a fully automated end-to-end pipeline for short-term CME magnetic field forecasting, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11539, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11539, 2026.