EGU26-12553, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12553
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Diabatic processes on synoptic timescales drive variability in midlatitude storm tracks
Andrea Marcheggiani1, Helen Dacre2, Clemens Spensberger1, and Thomas Spengler1
Andrea Marcheggiani et al.
  • 1Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
  • 2Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK

The storm tracks along the two main western boundary currents, the Kuroshio-Oyashio and Gulf Stream, are an integral feature of the Northern Hemisphere climate. Even though diabatic processes play a fundamental role in the evolution of storm tracks, especially related to the enhanced water cycle along sea surface temperature fronts, our theoretical understanding of the impact of moist dynamic processes is still incomplete. To shed light on the relative importance of diabatic effects on storm tracks, we quantify diabatic and adiabatic contributions to variations in baroclinicity using a framework based on isentropic slope tendencies.

We reveal a dichotomy in the maintenance of baroclinicity between the near-surface and free troposphere. Specifically, changes in baroclinicity due to adiabatic and diabatic processes have opposite phases with adiabatic depletion preceding diabatic generation of baroclinicity in the near-surface, while diabatic generation precedes adiabatic depletion in the free troposphere.

In the near-surface troposphere, cold air outbreaks (CAOs) are the primary contributors to variability in baroclinicity, while outside of CAOs variability is significantly weaker and largely incoherent with the overall near-surface variability. In the free troposphere, on the other hand, most of the variability in baroclinicity is attributable to extra-tropical cyclones and fronts. Despite their limited areal extent, they explain more than half the total variance in baroclinicity. The contribution to total variability from atmospheric rivers is small, indicating that the presence of moisture alone does not necessarily translate into diabatic production of baroclinicity in the absence of a mechanism for ascent.

How to cite: Marcheggiani, A., Dacre, H., Spensberger, C., and Spengler, T.: Diabatic processes on synoptic timescales drive variability in midlatitude storm tracks, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12553, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12553, 2026.

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supplementary materials version 1 – uploaded on 02 May 2026
  • CC1: Comment on EGU26-12553, Panos J. Athanasiadis, 07 May 2026 Reply

    Hi Andrea,

    I am interested in your work, but I was not able to attend your presentation. I am working on the role of SST gradients in replenishing low-level baroclinicity in the framework of decadal predictions. If you could share a PDF with your slides, or (in case you have already published this work) a reference, I would appreciate that.

    Best regards,

    Panos

    Reply

    • AC1: Reply to CC1, Andrea Marcheggiani, 07 May 2026 Reply

      Hi Panos,

      Thank you for reaching out! It's all published work, adding the DOIs below, and I can send you a pdf via email, as I'm not able to attach files to this response.

      Best Andrea

      • https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-927-2023
      • https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.5061
      • https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1479-2025

      Reply

    • AC2: Reply to CC1, Andrea Marcheggiani, 07 May 2026 Reply

      Hi Panos,

      Actually, I can share it also here for the benefit of anyone else who is interested. The PDF of the presentation will be available from this link until 6th June 2026.

      https://filesender.sikt.no/?s=download&token=1fc12fae-7ea9-474d-9ed4-fe1664042113

      Reply

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