EGU26-12591, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12591
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Monday, 04 May, 11:45–11:55 (CEST)
 
Room L2
Curved atmospheric rivers and their moisture remnants: a new detection tool for Antarctica
Victoire Buffet1,2, Benjamin Pohl2, Vincent Favier1, and Jonathan Wille1
Victoire Buffet et al.
  • 1Université Grenoble Alpes, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, C2H, France (vic.buffet@gmail.com)
  • 2Biogéosciences, UMR6282 CNRS / Université Bourgogne Europe, Dijon, 21000, France

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) represent the main intrusions of moisture and heat into Antarctica, exerting a major influence on the continent’s surface mass balance. Yet, due to geometric and directional constraints, existing detection algorithms often fail to track their evolution inland after landfall or in regions where abrupt directional changes occur. We introduce DARK (Detecting ARs using their Kurvature), a new Antarctic AR detection framework designed to overcome these limitations. DARK applies a strict 98th-percentile threshold to total integrated vapor transport and computes AR length along the curved axis to evaluate the 2000-km AR criterion. This enables the continuous detection of ARs with complex geometries, including those that curve, overturn, or extend across the South Pole. An additional AR-children module identifies smaller but still intense moisture remnants that detach from parent ARs after landfall yet continue to transport vapor and heat inland. The resulting climatology shows that DARK ARs account for about 18 % of total Antarctic precipitation and are linked to roughly half of top 1 % daily precipitation anomalies, 60 % of top 1 % daily maximum temperature anomalies, and 80 % of compound warm-and-wet events. DARK provides a more detailed assessment of AR-related precipitation and temperature impacts in the South Pole region. Despite slightly higher occurrence, risk-ratio analysis shows that DARK ARs more effectively capture the most intense events than earlier Antarctic schemes. Including AR-children further strengthens these associations, especially over Victoria Land, where they contribute to about one-third of AR-related precipitation.

How to cite: Buffet, V., Pohl, B., Favier, V., and Wille, J.: Curved atmospheric rivers and their moisture remnants: a new detection tool for Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12591, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12591, 2026.