EGU26-13862, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13862
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Poster | Monday, 04 May, 16:15–18:00 (CEST), Display time Monday, 04 May, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall X1, X1.27
Estimating biogenic CO2 fluxes for different vegetation types using CarboScope-Regional inversion (CSR) over Europe
Saqr Munassar1, Christian Rödenbeck1, Frank-Thomas Koch2, and Christoph Gerbig1
Saqr Munassar et al.
  • 1MPI-BGC, Signals, Jena, Germany (smunas@bgc-jena.mpg.de)
  • 2Deutscher Wetterdienst, FEHP Hohenpeissenberg , Germany

CO2 atmospheric inversions are typically used to derive Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) estimates from atmospheric observations, while prescribing the anthropogenic component or resolving for CO2 emissions using proper proxy data. Year-to-year variability of the biosphere sink is primarily caused by climate variations such as drought events, heat waves, and seasonal changes. However, the response of biospheric sink to climate conditions varies spatially across lands depending on vegetation type. In this study, we modified our CSR experiment by augmenting the state space of a standard CO2 inversion enabling the separate optimization of seven vegetation types within CSR, which increases the state space by a factor seven. The diagnostic biosphere model VPRM is used to provide a priori fluxes of CO2 for the targeted vegetation classes, which are derived from the remote sensing data. Posterior flux estimates demonstrate the contributions of CO2 estimates from evergreen, deciduous, mixed forests, as well as shrublands, savanna, croplands, and grasslands. The results indicate that the largest flux adjustments are associated with croplands over Europe, suggesting a shift from being largest sink in the prior model to the largest source of CO2. A similar analysis at the national scale over Germany shows substantial flux adjustments in croplands, which also exhibit the dominant interannual variability. Although the inversion suggests smaller corrections for mixed, evergreen, and deciduous forests, these vegetation types contribute substantially to total fluxes over Germany and display lower interannual variability than croplands. Additionally, we assess the sensitivity of the system to choices of the prior uncertainty settings.

How to cite: Munassar, S., Rödenbeck, C., Koch, F.-T., and Gerbig, C.: Estimating biogenic CO2 fluxes for different vegetation types using CarboScope-Regional inversion (CSR) over Europe, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13862, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13862, 2026.