EGU26-1465, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1465
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Tuesday, 05 May, 08:35–08:45 (CEST)
 
Room 2.24
The ocean heat valve: AMOC and planetary energy budget during abrupt glacial climate change
Christo Buizert1, Ayako Abe-Ouchi2, Guido Vettoretti3, Xu Zhang4, Yuta Kuniyoshi2, Sarah Shackleton5, Sune Rasmussen3, Joel Pedro6,7, Eric Galbraith8,9,10, and Thomas Stocker11
Christo Buizert et al.
  • 1Oregon State University, CEOAS, Corvallis, United States of America (christo.buizert@oregonstate.edu)
  • 2Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan
  • 3Physics of Ice, Climate and Earth, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • 4British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom
  • 5Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, USA
  • 6Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, Australia
  • 7Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia
  • 8Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
  • 9ICREA, Pg. Lluís Companys 23, 08010, Barcelona, Spain
  • 10Department of Earth and Planetary Science, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
  • 11Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland

During the Ice Ages, abrupt climate changes co-occurred with switches in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength. The thermal bipolar seesaw has served as a seminal conceptual framework to explain the global extent of these events, calling on interhemispheric redistribution of heat to explain the observed north-south temperature pattern. Here we summarize an emerging alternative framework centered instead on the global ocean heat content (OHC) and planetary energy budget, which we illustrate using simulations of spontaneous abrupt climate change in three climate models. In all models, the AMOC strength sets the OHC trend via the rate of North Atlantic heat loss, coupled to the top-of-the-atmosphere energy budget through radiative feedbacks. Antarctic and Greenland temperatures, as recorded in ice cores, are shown to reflect OHC and the rate of North-Atlantic heat loss, respectively. Under intermediate glacial climate states, global ocean heat uptake cannot reach steady-state with the bimodal rate of North Atlantic heat loss causing instability. Our synthesis suggests that the AMOC serves as a heat valve that alters planetary temperature by changing the radiative balance. This implies amplified planetary heat uptake in response to projected future AMOC weakening.

How to cite: Buizert, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Vettoretti, G., Zhang, X., Kuniyoshi, Y., Shackleton, S., Rasmussen, S., Pedro, J., Galbraith, E., and Stocker, T.: The ocean heat valve: AMOC and planetary energy budget during abrupt glacial climate change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1465, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1465, 2026.