EGU26-16720, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16720
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Tuesday, 05 May, 11:00–11:10 (CEST)
 
Room C
Is it ready to apply Large Language Models to frontline hydro practice? Taking the flooding forecasting agent as an example
Baoying Shan1, Qingyi Yang1, Jia Feng2, Shunan Zhou3,4, Xun Zhang5, Xudong Zhou6, Haiqing Pu2, Siqian Qiu7, Yongkang Xu8, Xu Shan9, Xiaoyi Dong10, Nuo Lei11, Haiyang Qian12,13, Bing Li14, and Carlo De Michele1
Baoying Shan et al.
  • 1Politecnico di Milano, DICA, Milano Mi, Italy (18301695791@163.com)
  • 2Qinhuangdao Hydrological Survey and Research Center of Hebei Province, Qinhuangdao, China (736251778@qq.com)
  • 3School of Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, 116024 Dalian, Liaoning, China
  • 4Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, TU Dresden University of Technology, 01062 Dresden, Germany (j.david.anan@gmail.com)
  • 5College of Civil Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.(2232324@tongji.edu.cn)
  • 6School of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Geography Science, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China (zhouxudong@nbu.edu.cn)
  • 7College of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, 443002 Yichang, China (siqian@ctgu.edu.cn)
  • 8College of Water Sciences,Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China (hydrokang@mail.bnu.edu.cn)
  • 9Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany (xshan@bgc-jena.mpg.de)
  • 10China IPPR International Engineering Co., Ltd., SINOMACH, Beijing, China (dxiaoyi18@gmail.com)
  • 11College of Civil Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai, China. (leinuo@tongji.edu.cn)
  • 12Zhejiang Institute of Hydraulics and Estuary (Zhejiang Institute of Marine Planning and Design), Hangzhou, 310020, China
  • 13Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab (H-CEL), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.(Haiyang.Qian@ugent.be)
  • 14University of California, Riverside Environmental Sciences Dept (bing.li1@ucr.edu)

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has triggered transformative changes across many domains, yet their application in operational hydrology forecasting remains largely unexplored. This raises a question: can LLMs meaningfully support frontline hydrological practice?

Flood forecasting provides an ideal testbed for this question. In operational settings, real-time forecasting relies heavily on forecasters' subjective judgment: interpreting meteorological patterns, assessing antecedent soil moisture, and making rapid decisions under deep uncertainty. While numerical hydrological models provide quantitative process simulations, the systematic and scalable cognitive expert judgment component still remains challenging. Moreover, operational demands for around-the-clock availability and consistent quality challenge the limited labour capacity.

Building on recent LLM advances, we present an intelligent flood forecasting agent that bridges this gap. The system integrates LLM reasoning capabilities with structured hydrological workflows, combining professional reproducibility with adaptive flexibility. A natural language interface enables forecasters to interact using everyday expressions, substantially lowering adoption barriers. The agent is currently undergoing systematic testing in a representative catchment. Preliminary results demonstrate promising consistency and robustness.

 

How to cite: Shan, B., Yang, Q., Feng, J., Zhou, S., Zhang, X., Zhou, X., Pu, H., Qiu, S., Xu, Y., Shan, X., Dong, X., Lei, N., Qian, H., Li, B., and De Michele, C.: Is it ready to apply Large Language Models to frontline hydro practice? Taking the flooding forecasting agent as an example, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16720, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16720, 2026.