The Community Inversion Framework as an operational tool for inverse modelling: towards robust, streamlined, and automatized intercomparisons of top-down estimates

Inverse modelling is employed to reconcile greenhouse gas (GHG) emission inventories, based on bottom-up methods, with the observed atmospheric GHG concentrations. The Community Inversion Framework (CIF) was created to unify inverse-model developments and simplify the generation of inversions. It makes atmospheric transport models and inversion algorithms easily interchangeable and facilitates the comparison of inversion results obtained using such diverse components.

After several years of development and the coupling of CIF with a wide range of transport models used by the inversion community, we present the first intercomparison study conducted with CIF. This exercise focuses on Europe and aims to refine CO₂ natural emissions for the year 2019, following a strict protocol. It involves five transport models (CHIMERE, ICON-ART, LMDz, STILT, and WRF-CHEM) and two inversion algorithms (variational and ensemble-based). Two additional transport models, TM5 and FLEXPART, will be incorporated in the near future.

The results show a good agreement, both across transport models, and inversion algorithms. It paves the way towards using CIF as an operational tool for intercomparison studies. It also highlights its strong potential to support the systematic derivation of GHG budgets with multiple transport models, enable a proper and easy quantification of the modelling uncertainty, and improve the robustness of emission estimates, for any relevant atmospheric species, at any scale.