EGU26-18633, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18633
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Monday, 04 May, 09:15–09:25 (CEST)
 
Room D1
Physics-informed AI systems - how the constraints from NWP can support development of better AI models
Olafur Rognvaldsson1 and Karolina Stanislawska2
Olafur Rognvaldsson and Karolina Stanislawska
  • 1Belgingur Ltd., Reykjavik, Iceland (or@belgingur.is)
  • 2Belgingur Ltd., Reykjavik, Iceland (karolina@belgingur.is)

AI-based methods have already proven their skill in weather prediction. The availability of high quality training data and ever more advanced model architectures opened the door for a new range of models providing predictions fast and at a low operational cost. Further development of such models, apart from seeking advancements in the architectural design and increased quality of the training datasets, might require a new approach. One still under-explored dimension is to tighten the link between the data-driven (often weather-system-agnostic) methods and the well established knowledge of atmospheric physics represented by NWP. 

Physics-awareness in AI model development may guide training, reduce compute requirements and improve the consistency of the predicted variables. In this talk we discuss the possible approaches to physics-informed AI model design, ranging from physics-based terms in the cost function to hybrid physical-neural architectures. We show the impact these methods have on the training process and discuss possible improvements in the forecast skill and physical consistency.

How to cite: Rognvaldsson, O. and Stanislawska, K.: Physics-informed AI systems - how the constraints from NWP can support development of better AI models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18633, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18633, 2026.