EGU26-3076, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3076
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Poster | Tuesday, 05 May, 14:00–15:45 (CEST), Display time Tuesday, 05 May, 14:00–18:00
 
Hall A, A.2
Efficient Uncertainty Quantification for Physics-Aware Machine Learning of Diffusion-Sorption Models
Stefania Scheurer1,2, Riccardo Frenner1,3, Tim Brünnette1,2, Sergey Oladyshkin1,2, and Wolfgang Nowak1,2
Stefania Scheurer et al.
  • 1University of Stuttgart, Institute for Modelling Hydraulic and Environmental Systems, Department of Stochastic Simulation and Safety Research for Hydrosystems, Stuttgart, Germany (stefania.scheurer@iws.uni-stuttgart.de)
  • 2University of Stuttgart, Stuttgart Center for Simulation Science, Stuttgart, Germany
  • 3University of Stuttgart, Institute of Industrial Automation and Software Engineering, Stuttgart, Germany

The Finite‑Volume Neural Network (FINN) merges the rigor of classical numerical discretizations with the flexibility of artificial neural networks (ANNs) to uncover unknown terms or parameters in partially unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). While this hybrid framework enhances flexibility and interpretability, the highly parameterized ANN makes uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the identified PDE components both demanding and computationally expensive, especially when conventional Bayesian approaches rely on costly Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. To address this, we introduce a computationally efficient, Machine Learning (ML)‑assisted inference‑with‑UQ scheme that yields confidence intervals for the PDE components learned by FINN. The procedure consists of data‑driven bootstrapping of the available observations and repeated training of FINN on each resampled set. We illustrate the method on the retardation factor of a diffusion‑sorption PDE, showing that it produces trustworthy interval estimates while markedly lowering the computational burden.

How to cite: Scheurer, S., Frenner, R., Brünnette, T., Oladyshkin, S., and Nowak, W.: Efficient Uncertainty Quantification for Physics-Aware Machine Learning of Diffusion-Sorption Models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3076, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3076, 2026.