EGU26-3224, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3224
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Monday, 04 May, 16:40–16:50 (CEST)
 
Room 1.61/62
IMPA-Net: Meteorology-Aware Multi-Scale Fusion and Dynamic Loss for Extreme Radar-Based Precipitation Nowcasting
Guangxin He and Haofei Cui
Guangxin He and Haofei Cui
  • Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.(ghe@nuist.edu.cn)

Minimizing pixel-wise errors in precipitation nowcasting inherently biases models toward smooth predictions, causing failures in resolving extreme convective events. To address this, we propose IMPA-Net, a meteorology-aware framework centered on spectral consistency. The architecture integrates three innovations: a parameter-free Spatial Mixer to encode multi-variate physical interactions (e.g., terrain-wind coupling); an Integrated Multi-scale Predictive Attention (IMPA) module to capture dynamics from Meso-β to Meso-γ scales; and a Meteorology-Aware Dynamic Loss (MAD-Loss) that employs asymmetric penalties to counteract regression-to-the-mean. Experiments demonstrate a 37.3% relative improvement in HSS for severe convection (45 dBZ). Crucially, RAPSD analysis confirms that IMPA-Net maintains spectral energy consistency across high-frequency bands, enabling it to successfully simulate the complex "dissipation-initiation" lifecycle that existing baselines fail to capture. These findings validate that integrating domain knowledge advances the physical plausibility of data-driven forecasting.

How to cite: He, G. and Cui, H.: IMPA-Net: Meteorology-Aware Multi-Scale Fusion and Dynamic Loss for Extreme Radar-Based Precipitation Nowcasting, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3224, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3224, 2026.