EGU26-4268, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4268
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Tuesday, 05 May, 11:05–11:15 (CEST)
 
Room N1
Increasing global human exposure to wildland fires despite declining burned area
Mojtaba Sadegh1, Seyd Teymoor Seydi1, John Abatzoglou2, Matthew Jones3, and Amir AghaKouchak4
Mojtaba Sadegh et al.
  • 1Boise State University, Boise, United States of America (mojtabasadegh@boisestate.edu)
  • 2University of California, Merced, United States of America
  • 3Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich, UK.
  • 4University of California, Irvine, United States of America

Although half of Earth’s population resides in the wildland-urban interface, human exposure to wildland fires remains unquantified. We show that the population directly exposed to wildland fires increased 40% globally from 2002 to 2021 despite a 26% decline in burned area. Increased exposure was mainly driven by enhanced colocation of wildland fires and human settlements, doubling the exposure per unit burned area. We show that population dynamics accounted for 25% of the 440 million human exposures to wildland fires. Although wildfire disasters in North America, Europe, and Oceania have garnered the most attention, 85% of global exposures occurred in Africa. The top 0.01% of fires by intensity accounted for 0.6 and 5% of global exposures and burned area, respectively, warranting enhanced efforts to increase fire resilience in disaster-prone regions.

How to cite: Sadegh, M., Seydi, S. T., Abatzoglou, J., Jones, M., and AghaKouchak, A.: Increasing global human exposure to wildland fires despite declining burned area, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4268, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4268, 2026.