EGU26-5042, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5042
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Monday, 04 May, 11:55–12:05 (CEST)
 
Room C
Resilience Loss of Tropical Forests in Recent Decades
Lana Blaschke1,2, Sebastian Bathiany1,2, Marina Hirota3, and Niklas Boers1,2,4
Lana Blaschke et al.
  • 1Munich Climate Center and Earth System Modelling Group, Department of Aerospace and Geodesy, TUM Schormanyol of Engineering and Design, Technical University of Munich (lana.blaschke@tum.de)
  • 2Complexity Science, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • 3Department of Physics, Federal University of Santa Catarina,
  • 4Department of Mathematics and Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter

In view of ongoing climate and land use change, the resilience of tropical forests is crucial for maintaining ecosystem services and  preventing potential forest loss and associated greenhouse gas emissions. Recent studies have attempted to quantify tropical forest resilience changes using different satellite vegetation products. However, it has not been assessed to what extent the data satisfies the theoretical assumptions of the employed resilience metrics. Here, we propose a framework to determine the most reliable combination of vegetation data and metrics to monitor resilience from space. We apply our framework to select the best combinations from 16 vegetation products and nine resilience metrics.  Based on these, we consistently find that tropical forests in South America, Africa, and Asia have experienced a decline in resilience over recent decades. Our robust assessment of resilience changes in tropical forests has important implications for targeted actions to prevent further tropical forest loss.

How to cite: Blaschke, L., Bathiany, S., Hirota, M., and Boers, N.: Resilience Loss of Tropical Forests in Recent Decades, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5042, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5042, 2026.