EGU26-6588, updated on 13 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6588
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Assessing the performance of the CERRA dataset in reproducing extreme weather events in Poland
Kinga Kulesza, Maciej Jefimow, and Joanna Strużewska
Kinga Kulesza et al.
  • Institute of Environmental Protection - National Research Institute, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Modelling, Warsaw, Poland

Understanding the extreme weather events — such as heat waves, heavy precipitation, and episodes of strong winds — is crucial for assessing and managing climate-related impacts on human activities, ecosystems, and the environment. Global reanalysis datasets, including ERA5, and ERA5-Land, are widely used for studying such extremes; however, their relatively coarse spatial resolution can limit their ability to accurately capture localized and high-impact events. The high-resolution Copernicus European Regional ReAnalysis (CERRA) provides a regional alternative that has the potential to improve the representation of extreme meteorological conditions. This study benchmarks the performance of CERRA against established ERA-based reanalyses (ERA5 and ERA5-Land) using in-situ observations from Poland as an independent reference. The evaluation focuses on a set of temperature, precipitation, and wind-related extreme indices to assess how effectively each reanalysis reproduces observed extremes. The results indicate that CERRA outperforms the ERA-based products in representing extreme temperature and precipitation events, while improvements for wind speed extremes are more limited. In addition, three representative case studies — a severe heat wave from July 2010, a heavy rainfall event which led to a flood in June 2010, and a strong wind episode caused by the cyclone Kyrill in 2007 — are examined to provide a process-oriented comparison of CERRA and ERA reanalyses. Overall, the findings demonstrate that CERRA offers clear added value over ERA5 and ERA5-Land for the analysis of extreme weather events in Poland, highlighting its suitability for high-resolution climatological applications.

How to cite: Kulesza, K., Jefimow, M., and Strużewska, J.: Assessing the performance of the CERRA dataset in reproducing extreme weather events in Poland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6588, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6588, 2026.