EGU26-7385, updated on 14 Mar 2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7385
EGU General Assembly 2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Oral | Monday, 04 May, 11:50–12:10 (CEST)
 
Room 1.14
The potential of prompt elasto-gravity signals and graph neural networks for tsunami early warning
Quentin Bletery1, Céline Hourcade1,2, Kévin Juhel1,2, Gabriela Arias1, Paul Jarrin1, Andrea Licciardi3, Jean-Paul Ampuero1, Martin Vallée4, and Adolfo Inza5
Quentin Bletery et al.
  • 1Observatoire de la Côte d'Azur, Université Côte d'Azur, IRD, CNRS, Géoazur, Sophia Antipolis, France (bletery@geoazur.unice.fr)
  • 2Nantes Université, CNRS, Laboratoire de Planétologie et Géosciences, Nantes, France
  • 3CNR-ICAR National Research Council of Italy, Palermo, Italy
  • 4Université Paris Cité, Institut de physique du globe de Paris, CNRS, Paris, France
  • 5Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Perú

Prompt Elasto-Gravity Signals (PEGS) are light-speed gravity perturbations that can be recorded by broadband seismometers before the arrival of P waves. This characteristics has raised interest for potential early warning applications but the emerging nature of PEGS and their extremely small amplitudes (nm/s2) have challenged their operational use. We developed a deep learning approach to rapidly estimate the magnitude and location of large earthquakes from PEGS. In order to optimize the performances, we designed a graph neural network (PEGSGraph) capturing the geometrical information of the seismic network. This approach is not subject to saturation and can reliably estimate the magnitude of Mw ≥ 7.6 earthquakes within 2 minutes from initiation in Alaska, making it a viable solution for tsunami warning. We are currently testing possible implementations of PEGSGraph into the tsunami early warning systems of Peru and Alaska and including GNSS version in the deep learning framework.

How to cite: Bletery, Q., Hourcade, C., Juhel, K., Arias, G., Jarrin, P., Licciardi, A., Ampuero, J.-P., Vallée, M., and Inza, A.: The potential of prompt elasto-gravity signals and graph neural networks for tsunami early warning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7385, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7385, 2026.