Oral Programme NWP2
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NWP2 Ensemble forecasting |
| Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer , Andrea Montani |
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Oral Programme
/ Fri, 17 Sep, 08:30–13:00
/ Room E1.2
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Thu, 16 Sep, 16:00–17:00
/ Poster Area P5
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Friday, 17 September 2010 Room E1.2 Chairperson: Barkmeijer |
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| 08:30–09:00 |
EMS2010-768
Developing an Ensemble Prediction System based on COSMO-DE (solicited) S. Theis, C. Gebhardt, M. Buchhold, Z. Ben Bouallègue, R. Ohl, M. Paulat, and C. Peralta |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2010-330
Using the Plant-Craig stochastic convective parameterization in an ensemble forecast system P. Groenemeijer and G.C. Craig |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2010-231
Comparison of convective precipitation in COSMO model runs by variation of the initial soil moisture fields V. Klüpfel, N. Kalthoff, and L. Gantner |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2010-147
Severe Weather Warnings from MOGREPS R. Neal, J. Robbins, and K. Mylne |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2010-270
Activity in the field of mesoscale ensemble forecasting by the COSMO-LEPS system: main achievements and open challenges A. Montani, D. Cesari, C Marsigli, and T. Paccagnella |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2010-179
An assessment of the ECMWF tropical cyclone ensemble forecasting system and its use for insurance loss predictions F. Aemisegger, O. Martius, and M. Wüest |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2010-430
Blending a probabilistic nowcasting method with a high resolution ensemble for convective precipitation forecasts K. Kober, G.C. Craig, and C. Keil |
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Coffee Break
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| 11:00–11:30 |
EMS2010-582
Global and Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction Systems deployed for Wind Power Forecasting (solicited) T.I. Petroliagis, M. Jacques, A. Montani, L.v. Bremen, and D. Heinemann |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2010-129
Can multimodel ensembles improve medium range precipitation forecasts? J. Flowerdew |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2010-188
Hydrological Ensemble Prediction System (HEPS) J. Thielen-del Pozo, J. Schaake, E. Martin, J. Pailleux, and F. Pappenberger |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2010-28
Ensemble Prediction System Development for Hydrometeorological Testbed (HMT) Application I. Jankov, S. Albers, H. Yuan, L. Wharton, Z. Toth, T. Schneider, A. White, and M. Ralph |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2010-542
Investigation of predictability during the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) J.H. Keller, S.C. Jones, and D. Anwender |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2010-409
Ideas for a pattern-oriented approach towards a VERA analysis ensemble T. Gorgas and M. Dorninger |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2010-248
A new linear Model Output Statistics scheme for ensemble forecasts. Theory and applications. S. Vannitsem |