Oral Programme NWP2

NWP2

Ensemble forecasting
Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer , Andrea Montani 
Oral Programme
 / Fri, 17 Sep, 08:30–13:00  / Room E1.2
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 16 Sep, 16:00–17:00  / Poster Area P5

Friday, 17 September 2010
Room E1.2
Chairperson: Barkmeijer
08:30–09:00
EMS2010-768
Developing an Ensemble Prediction System based on COSMO-DE (solicited)
S. Theis, C. Gebhardt, M. Buchhold, Z. Ben Bouallègue, R. Ohl, M. Paulat, and C. Peralta
09:00–09:15
EMS2010-330
Using the Plant-Craig stochastic convective parameterization in an ensemble forecast system
P. Groenemeijer and G.C. Craig
09:15–09:30
EMS2010-231
Comparison of convective precipitation in COSMO model runs by variation of the initial soil moisture fields
V. Klüpfel, N. Kalthoff, and L. Gantner
09:30–09:45
EMS2010-147
Severe Weather Warnings from MOGREPS
R. Neal, J. Robbins, and K. Mylne
09:45–10:00
EMS2010-270
Activity in the field of mesoscale ensemble forecasting by the COSMO-LEPS system: main achievements and open challenges
A. Montani, D. Cesari, C Marsigli, and T. Paccagnella
10:00–10:15
EMS2010-179
An assessment of the ECMWF tropical cyclone ensemble forecasting system and its use for insurance loss predictions
F. Aemisegger, O. Martius, and M. Wüest
10:15–10:30
EMS2010-430
Blending a probabilistic nowcasting method with a high resolution ensemble for convective precipitation forecasts
K. Kober, G.C. Craig, and C. Keil
Coffee Break
11:00–11:30
EMS2010-582
Global and Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction Systems deployed for Wind Power Forecasting (solicited)
T.I. Petroliagis, M. Jacques, A. Montani, L.v. Bremen, and D. Heinemann
11:30–11:45
EMS2010-129
Can multimodel ensembles improve medium range precipitation forecasts?
J. Flowerdew
11:45–12:00
EMS2010-188
Hydrological Ensemble Prediction System (HEPS)
J. Thielen-del Pozo, J. Schaake, E. Martin, J. Pailleux, and F. Pappenberger
12:00–12:15
EMS2010-28
Ensemble Prediction System Development for Hydrometeorological Testbed (HMT) Application
I. Jankov, S. Albers, H. Yuan, L. Wharton, Z. Toth, T. Schneider, A. White, and M. Ralph
12:15–12:30
EMS2010-542
Investigation of predictability during the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE)
J.H. Keller, S.C. Jones, and D. Anwender
12:30–12:45
EMS2010-409
Ideas for a pattern-oriented approach towards a VERA analysis ensemble
T. Gorgas and M. Dorninger
12:45–13:00
EMS2010-248
A new linear Model Output Statistics scheme for ensemble forecasts. Theory and applications.
S. Vannitsem