Oral Programme AM5

AM5

Verification and quality of probabilistic forecast guidance
Convener: P. Nurmi 
Co-Convener: M. Göber 
Session details
Oral Programme
 / Wed, 14 Sep, 08:30–13:00  / Room Cambridge
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 15 Sep, 16:00–17:00  / Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
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Wednesday, 14 Sep 2011
Room Cambridge
Chairperson: Nurmi
08:30–08:45
EMS2011-696 | Presentation
The challenge to verify operational weather warnings
T. Weusthoff and M. Arpagaus
08:45–09:00
EMS2011-288 | Presentation
On the choice of thresholds to give warnings
C. Primo
09:00–09:15
EMS2011-246
Prediction and forecast verification for extreme wind gusts
P. Friederichs
09:15–09:30
EMS2011-216 | Presentation
Verification of area-based probabilistic first-guess severe weather warnings from MOGREPS
R. Neal and K. Mylne
09:30–09:45
EMS2011-239 | Presentation
The SRNWP-V project: a comparison of regional European forecast models
M. Mittermaier and C. Wilson
09:45–10:00
EMS2011-437 | Presentation
Verification of forecasts from the 2010 Vancouver Olympic Games
L. Wilson, M. Bailey, M. Vallée, and I. Heckman
10:00–10:15
EMS2011-396 | Presentation
The importance of standardised verification procedures for inter-comparison of global NWP model forecasts: revised WMO guidelines (solicited)
D.S. Richardson and M. Mittermaier
10:15–10:30
EMS2011-264 | Presentation
New ECMWF Headline Verification Measures (solicited)
P. Nurmi
Coffee Break
Chairperson: Göber
11:00–11:15
EMS2011-597 | Presentation
The new BOLAM version of the SIMM forecasting chain: A verification study over the MAP D-PHASE Operations Period
S. Mariani and M. Casaioli
11:15–11:30
EMS2011-160 | Presentation
EPS based probabilistic forecasts and verification at Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI)
J. Kauhanen, J. Kilpinen, and M. Brockman
11:30–11:45
EMS2011-776 | Presentation
Verification Approaches for Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones
E. Gilleland, B. Brown, and P. Kucera
11:45–12:00
EMS2011-816 | Presentation
Radius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts
E. Ebert
12:00–12:15
EMS2011-438
A multivariate probabilistic ensemble verification method based on a Bayesian approach
A. Hense, A. Roepnack, D. Majewski, and C. Gebhardt
12:15–12:30
EMS2011-773 | Presentation
NWP Verification with Shape-matching Algorithms: Hydrologic Applications and Extension to Ensembles
B. Brown, E. Tollerud, W. Clark, and T. Jensen
12:30–12:45
EMS2011-244 | Presentation
The potential for long-term monitoring of precipitation forecasts against radar data
M. Mittermaier and N. Roberts
12:45–13:00
Poster introductions