Oral Programme AM5
|
AM5 Verification and quality of probabilistic forecast guidance |
| Convener: Pertti Nurmi | Co-Convener: Martin Göber |
|
Oral Programme
/ Wed, 14 Sep, 08:30–13:00
/ Room Cambridge
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Thu, 15 Sep, 16:00–17:00
/ Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
|
|
Wednesday, 14 September 2011 Room Cambridge Chairperson: Nurmi |
|
| 08:30–08:45 |
EMS2011-696
| presentation
The challenge to verify operational weather warnings T. Weusthoff and M. Arpagaus |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EMS2011-288
| presentation
On the choice of thresholds to give warnings C. Primo |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2011-246
Prediction and forecast verification for extreme wind gusts P. Friederichs |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2011-216
| presentation
Verification of area-based probabilistic first-guess severe weather warnings from MOGREPS R. Neal and K. Mylne |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2011-239
| presentation
The SRNWP-V project: a comparison of regional European forecast models M. Mittermaier and C. Wilson |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2011-437
| presentation
Verification of forecasts from the 2010 Vancouver Olympic Games L. Wilson, M. Bailey, M. Vallée, and I. Heckman |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2011-396
| presentation
The importance of standardised verification procedures for inter-comparison of global NWP model forecasts: revised WMO guidelines (solicited) D.S. Richardson and M. Mittermaier |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2011-264
| presentation
New ECMWF Headline Verification Measures (solicited) P. Nurmi |
|
Coffee Break
|
|
| 11:00–11:15 |
EMS2011-597
| presentation
The new BOLAM version of the SIMM forecasting chain: A verification study over the MAP D-PHASE Operations Period S. Mariani and M. Casaioli |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EMS2011-160
| presentation
EPS based probabilistic forecasts and verification at Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) J. Kauhanen, J. Kilpinen, and M. Brockman |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2011-776
| presentation
Verification Approaches for Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones E. Gilleland, B. Brown, and P. Kucera |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2011-816
| presentation
Radius of reliability: A distance metric for interpreting and verifying spatial probability forecasts E. Ebert |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2011-438
A multivariate probabilistic ensemble verification method based on a Bayesian approach A. Hense, A. Roepnack, D. Majewski, and C. Gebhardt |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2011-773
| presentation
NWP Verification with Shape-matching Algorithms: Hydrologic Applications and Extension to Ensembles B. Brown, E. Tollerud, W. Clark, and T. Jensen |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2011-244
| presentation
The potential for long-term monitoring of precipitation forecasts against radar data M. Mittermaier and N. Roberts |
| 12:45–13:00 |
Poster introductions
|