Oral NWP4
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NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting at short and and medium-range |
| Conveners: Andrea Montani , Jan Barkmeijer , Fernando Prates |
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Friday, 13 September 2013 Room 102 Chairperson: Jan Barkmeijer |
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| 08:30–09:00 |
EMS2013-258
Ensemble prediction of intense summer rainfall in the UK (solicited) B.W. Golding |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2013-621
Applying renewable energy power data for improved weather forecasts K. Lundgren, S. Declair, R. Müller, A. Schomburg, and R. Potthast |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2013-283
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Representation of initial conditions in the MOGREPS-UK ensemble C. Johnson, R. Swinbank, and W. J. Tennant |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2013-9
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A Detailed and a Coarse Scheme for Convective Data Assimilation of Radar Observations using a Local Ensemble Kalman Filter H. Lange and G. C. Craig |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2013-133
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Structure and impact of ensemble perturbations provided by convective-scale ensemble data assimilation F. Harnisch and C. Keil |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2013-176
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High resolution ensemble analysis: linking correlations and spread to physical processes. S. Dey, R. Plant, S. Migliorini, and N. Roberts |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2013-311
Probability forecasts from an adaptive spatial method to deal with under-sampling in a convection-permitting NWP ensemble N. Roberts |
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Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
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| 11:30–12:00 |
EMS2013-388
| presentation
Local bivariate calibration of ensemble wind forecasts at Frankfurt/Main Airport (solicited) N. Schuhen, I. Alberts, and M. Buchhold |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2013-438
Ensemble postprocessing for probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts S. Bentzien and P. Friederichs |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2013-183
A comparison of ensemble post-processing methods for extreme events R.M. Williams, C.A.T. Ferro, and F. Kwasniok |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2013-459
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An ensemble prediction system for polar lows over the Norwegian and Barents Sea H. Mc Innes, J. Kristiansen, G. Noer, and H. Luijting |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2013-372
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The RainCloud project: providing finescale probabilistic forecasts of precipitation for avalanche warning using Cloud Computing F. Schueller, G. Mayr, S. Ostermann, M. Janetschek, and R. Prodan |
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Lunch Break
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| 14:00–14:30 |
EMS2013-487
Systematic errors in medium-range forecasts of tropopause structure (solicited) S. L. Gray, C. M. Dunning, J. Methven, G. Masato, and J. M. Chagnon |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2013-281
An analysis of an intense precipitation event over West Africa using TIGGE data S. B. Hopsch, J. H. Keller, and S. C. Jones |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2013-381
Calibration of ensemble wind forecasts for wind energy applications C. Junk, L. von Bremen, D. Heinemann, and S. Spaeth |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2013-165
Ensemble post-processing methods for short-range ensemble forecasts. Dr. Descamps |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2013-166
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Ensemble forecasting for Sochi-2014 Olympics: the COSMO-S14-EPS system from COSMO A. Montani, C. Marsigli, and T. Paccagnella |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2013-723
The predictability of mesoscale features in MOGREPS ensemble forecasts T. H. A. Frame, J. Methven, and N. M. Roberts |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2013-769
Forecast System Improvement with Rapid Input of Surface Observations J. Anderson and F. Rey Benadero |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EMS2013-470
High resolution ensemble forecasting using CAPE singular vectors R.J.J. Stappers and J. Barkmeijer |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EMS2013-804
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Production of a multi-model, convective-scale superensemble over western Europe as part of the SESAR project J. Beck, F. Bouttier, O. Nuissier, and L. Raynaud |
| 16:30–17:15 |
Announcement of poster award recipient, followed by beer tasting in the foyer
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