Orals UC2
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UC2 Climate prediction and scenarios on decadal to centennial timescales |
| Convener: Christof Appenzeller | Co-Conveners: Clare Goodess , Jean-Pierre Céron , Martin Widmann |
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Thursday, 9 October 2014 Room Zenit |
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| 16:30–17:00 |
EMS2014-613
COST action VALUE: Validating and integrating downscaling methods for climate change research Douglas Maraun, Martin Widmann, Rasmus E. Benestad, Richard E. Chandler, Jose M. Gutierrez, Elke Hertig, Radan Huth, Sven Kotlarski, and Joanna Wibig |
| 17:00–17:15 |
EMS2014-584
Comparison of stochastic MOS corrections for GCM and RCM simulated precipitation Martin Widmann, Jonathan Eden, Douglas Maraun, and Mathieu Vrac |
| 17:15–17:30 |
EMS2014-645
Downscaling for extreme and non-extreme daily precipitation using GCM model output statistics (withdrawn) Jonathan Eden, Martin Widmann, Douglas Maraun, and Mathieu Vrac |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2014-48
Change points in statistical downscaling relationships of the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic-European domain and precipitation in the Mediterranean area Elke Hertig and Jucundus Jacobeit |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2014-193
Robust climate scenarios for sites with sparse observations: A two-step empirical-statistical bias correction approach Jan Rajczak, Sven Kotlarski, Nadine Salzmann, and Christoph Schär |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2014-181
| presentation
Enhancing local climate projections for Switzerland: Possibilities and limitations of bias correction techniques Martin Ivanov, Sven Kotlarski, and Christoph Schär |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2014-175
Stochastic modelling of future daily weather consistent with RCM projections and the space-time covariance of present-day observations Denise E. Keller, Andreas M. Fischer, Christoph Frei, Mark A. Liniger, Christof Appenzeller, and Reto Knutti |
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Friday, 10 October 2014 Room Zenit |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EMS2014-136
Towards a limited-area climate ensemble prediction system for decadal forecasts Barbara Früh, Fatemeh Davary-Adalatpanah, and Claus-Jürgen Lenz |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EMS2014-508
Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, Christopher Kadow, Gregor C. Leckebusch, and Uwe Ulbrich |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2014-545
KNMI'14: new climate scenarios for the Netherlands Albert M.G. Klein Tank |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2014-365
Selecting an optimum subset of climate models for climate impact studies - a case study Renate Wilcke, Lars Bärring, and Thomas Mendlik |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2014-620
Testing reliablility of selected methods of future precipitation extremes projections. A Central Europe case. Joanna Wibig and Joanna Jedruszkiewicz |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2014-623
| presentation
Integrated climate change assessment with climate classification Michal Belda, Tomas Halenka, Jaroslava Kalvova, and Eva Holtanova |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2014-449
| presentation
Future changes and signal analyses in the Mediterranean Area deduced from a CMIP3 multi-model ensemble Gernot Vogt |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2014-619
The ‘usability gap': the UK Climate Projections 2009 and adaptation decision making amongst organisations (withdrawn) Suraje Dessai and Geoff Whitman |
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Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
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| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2014-14
Projected changes of percentile-based precipitation indices for the 21st century in Central/Eastern Europe Anna Kis, Rita Pongrácz, and Judit Bartholy |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2014-403
Climate changes over Central Europe for 2050 based on a dynamical downscaling with the interactive GEM-AC model Joanna Struzewska and Jacek W. Kaminski |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2014-467
Multi-model ensemble projections for temperature and precipitation in Portugal Cristina Andrade and João Santos |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2014-518
Possible changes in evapotranspiration, air humidity and irrigation characteristics in Slovakia Milan Lapin, Ingrid Damborská, Ján Hrvoľ, Martin Gera, and Marián Melo |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2014-292
Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations Xiaolan L. Wang, Yang Feng, and Val R. Swail |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2014-616
Decrease of future storminess partially compensates for sea level rise effect on water level maxima along the Mediterranean Sea coast (withdrawn) Piero Lionello, Dario Conte, Luigi Marzo, and Luca Scarascia |