Orals UC3

UC3

Climate forecast verification
Convener: Pertti Nurmi  | Co-Convener: Caio Coelho 
Orals
 / Thu, 09 Oct, 14:00–16:00  / Room Zenit
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 10 Oct, 10:30–11:30  / Display Wed, 08 Oct, 15:00–Fri, 10 Oct, 14:00  / Meridian Left Back

Thursday, 9 October 2014
Room Zenit
Chairperson: Pertti Nurmi
14:00–14:15
EMS2014-486
Estimating seasonally varying thresholds for seasonal predictions of climate indices
Irina Mahlstein and Mark Liniger
14:15–14:30
EMS2014-608
Advanced Climate and Regional Model Validation for Societal Applications
Barbara Brown, Eric Gilleland, Tressa Fowler, Caspar Ammann, Lawrence Buja, William Gutowski, Laurna Kaatz, Abayomi Abatan, and John Halley Gotway
14:30–14:45
EMS2014-288 | presentation
Verification of long range weather forecasts in Croatia
Lovro Kalin and Zoran Vakula
14:45–15:00
EMS2014-226
The verification of seasonal precipitation forecasts for early warning in Zambia and Malawi
Otto Hyvärinen, Ari Venäläinen, Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola, and Hilppa Gregow
15:00–15:15
EMS2014-606
Verification of seasonal-to-decadal ensemble forecasts
Stefan Siegert
15:15–15:30 EMS2014-210
Does a climate model represent the climate? Attmpts at a quantification using verification measures (withdrawn)
Arne Spekat and Wolfgang Enke
15:30–15:45
EMS2014-159
Probabilistic evaluation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system
Sophie Stolzenberger, Rita Glowienka-Hense, Thomas Spangehl, Marc Schröder, and Andreas Hense
15:45–16:00
EMS2014-182
The representation of the 1990s warming of the North Atlantic subpolare gyre in the MiKlip decadal prediction system
Ines Höschel and Ulrich Cubasch