Orals NWP4
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NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting at short and medium-range |
| Convener: Andrea Montani | Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer , Fernando Prates |
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Thursday, 10 September 2015 Room Kyoto Chairperson: Prates/Montani |
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From large scale to convection permitting ensemble systems
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| 11:00–11:30 |
EMS2015-224
| presentation
Stochastic parametrization of boundary layer processes in ENS (solicited) Pirkka Ollinaho, Martin Leutbecher, Anton Beljaars, and Irina Sandu |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2015-549
New methods for ensemble generation in COSMO-DE-EPS Richard Keane, Hendrick Reich, and Christoph Schraff |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2015-116
Evaluation of a stochastic deep convection parameterization in HarmonEPS. Lisa Bengtsson |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2015-582
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How good is ensemble-based calibrated thunderstorm probability prediction over Australia? Harald Richter |
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Applications of probabilistic products
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| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2015-12
Probabilistic Predictions in Complex Terrain with an Analog Ensemble Iris Odak Plenkovic, Luca Delle Monache, Kristian Horvath, Mario Hrastinski, and Alica Bajic |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2015-302
Scenario forecasting using ensembles in water management Tessa van het Schip-Haverkamp, Wim van den Berg, and Remco van de Beek |
| 12:45–12:55 |
Poster presentations
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