Orals NWP4
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NWP4 Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting at short and medium-ranges |
| Convener: Andrea Montani | Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer , Fernando Prates |
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Thursday, 15 September 2016 Room Oceania AB Chairperson: Andrea Montani |
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| 15:00–15:30 |
EMS2016-769
The SRNWP-EPS Programme, an overview José Antonio Garcia-Moya, Francesca Marcucci, and Chiara Marsigli |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2016-768
| presentation
Fog forecasting methods: review and application Mario Papa |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2016-562
Spatial temperature calibration of a multi-model ensemble using a NGR approach with local anomalies Irene Schicker, Moritz Lang, Alexander Kann, and Yong Wang |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EMS2016-193
| presentation
Temporal Ensemble Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Markus Dabernig, Georg J. Mayr, Jakob W. Messner, and Achim Zeileis |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EMS2016-427
Constrained genetic algorithms for ensemble prediction model parameter setting Adrian Mark Tompkins |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2016-261
| presentation
Improving ECMWF 6-h maximum rain with non-linear methods and instability indices Agostino (Tino) Manzato and Arturo Pucillo |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2016-86
Mesoscale hydrology-oriented verification of different probabilistic precipitation forecasts: highlighting their complementarity Joseph Bellier, Isabella Zin, Guillaume Bontron, Stanislas Siblot, and Matthieu Lafaysse |
| 17:30–18:00 |
EMS2016-605
| presentation
GRAPES-REPS Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System: methodology and evaluation Jing Chen, Hanbin Zhang, Xiaoli Li, Yinglin Li, Li Gao, Yuanzhe Wang, and Guo Deng |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2016-668
| presentation
The global ICON Ensemble at DWD Michael Denhard, Cristina Primo, Felix Fundel, Andreas Rhodin, Ana Fernandez del Rio, Harald Anlauf, Alexander Cress, Michael Buchold, and Roland Potthast |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2016-380
| presentation
Use of TIGGE-LAM ensemble datasets for the prediction of high-impact weather events Andrea Montani, Chiara Marsigli, and Tiziana Paccagnella |
| 18:30–18:45 |
EMS2016-248
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Large scale skill of the Eta against its driver ECMWF 32-day ensemble Katarina Veljovic and Fedor Mesinger |
| 18:45–19:00 |
EMS2016-151
gSREPS: AEMET New Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System. First objective verification Jose A. Garcia-Moya, Alfons Callado, Pau Escriba, Carlos Santos, Marc Compte, Antonio Manzano, Alberto Martin, and Jesus Rodriguez |