Orals AM6/NWP5
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Friday, 16 September 2016 Room Oceania AB Chairperson: Angel G Munoz |
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| 09:00–09:30 |
EMS2016-782
Modes, predictability and skill Adrian Mark Tompkins |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2016-82
Structure and Evolution Characteristics of Atmospheric Intraseasonal Oscillation during Wet and Dry summers over Yangtze River Basin in China Yanjun Qi |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2016-185
Modulation of Indonesian rainfall variability by the Madden-Julian Oscillation Rahmat Hidayat |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2016-80
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts with CNRM-CM : a case study on the July 2015 West-European heat wave Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté, and Michel Déqué |
| 10:15–10:30 |
1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
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Coffee break & poster session
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| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2016-337
Statistical approaches for diagnosing and applying sources of forecast skill to subseasonal predictions Nathaniel Johnson, Jiaxin Black, Daniel Harnos, Michelle L'Heureux, Stephen Baxter, and Steven Feldstein |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2016-516
Verification of the CNR-ISAC sub-seasonal prediction system Daniele Mastrangelo and Piero Malguzzi |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2016-435
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Verification of subseasonal forecasts of drought indices Christoph Spirig, Jonas Bhend, Samuel Monhart, and Mark Liniger |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2016-65
Predictability of heat waves over West Africa in subseasonal and seasonal reforecasts with CNRM-CM Lauriane Batté, Constantin Ardilouze, and Michel Déqué |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2016-684
Atmospheric cryptography: Using weather regimes to ‘crack the code’ of subseasonal-to-seasonal extreme rainfall events Ángel G. Muñoz, Gabriel Vecchi, Xiaosong Yang, Lisa Goddard, and Andrew W. Robertson |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2016-708
Harnessing butterflies for improved monthly, seasonal, and interannual forecasts (withdrawn) Shaun Lovejoy and Lenin Lenin Del Rio Amador |
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Lunch break
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Applications
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| 14:00–14:15 |
EMS2016-266
Experimenting with climate services to support short term adaptation Andrea Vajda, Hilppa Gregow, and Pentti Pirinen |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EMS2016-520
A multi-model application on the sub-seasonal forecasting scale Alfonso Ferrone, Daniele Mastrangelo, and Piero Malguzzi |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EMS2016-349
Heat waves in South Asia: diagnosis, prediction and communication for the health community (withdrawn) Hannah Nissan |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EMS2016-763
Seasonal forecast of droughts: providing useful information to water management and agribusiness sector Stefano Materia and Silvio Gualdi |
| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2016-192
| presentation
Analysis of monthly precipitations from a regional ensemble prediction system applied to irrigation management Raffaele Salerno and Enrico Maggioni |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2016-96
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Using seasonal climate forecasts in dynamic crop model to predict rice yield Prakash Jha, Panos Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Vakhtang Shelia, and Gerrit Hoogenboom |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2016-340
Malaria forecasting in Uganda using S2S and seasonal forecasts Adrian Mark Tompkins, Felipe Colon-Gonzalez, Francesca Di Giuseppe, and Didas Namanya |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2016-364
| presentation
Potential of long-range forecasts in the energy market Otto Hyvärinen, Antti Mäkelä, Matti Kämäräinen, and Hilppa Gregow |