Orals OSA1.7

OSA1.7

Forecasting, nowcasting and warning systems
Conveners: Timothy Hewson , Yong Wang  | Co-Conveners: Bernhard Reichert , Fulvio Stel 
Orals
 / Thu, 06 Sep, 10:30–12:30  / 14:00–16:00  / Room E II
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 07 Sep, 10:30–11:30  / Display Wed, 05 Sep, 13:30–Fri, 07 Sep, 13:30  / Poster area

Thursday, 6 September 2018
Room E II
Chairperson: Fulvio Stel
Part 1

10:30–10:45
EMS2018-792
Towards the transformation of the forecasting system at Meteorological Service of Canada
Stephane Gagnon, Bertrand Denis, Agnieszka Barszcz, and Marc Verville
10:45–11:00
EMS2018-835
Seamless probabilistic analysis and forecasting: from minutes to days ahead
Yong Wang, Alexander Kann, Aitor Atencia, Nauman Awan, Markus Dabernig, Josef Kemetmüller, Florian Meier, Irene Schicker, Lukas Tüchler, Clemens Wastl, and Christoph Wittmann
11:00–11:15
EMS2018-723
Predicting Thunderstorm Intensities
Thorsten Simon, Georg J. Mayr, Nikolaus Umlauf, and Achim Zeileis
11:15–11:30
EMS2018-798 | presentation
Local extreme precipitation warnings for Belgium
Edouard Goudenhoofdt, Maarten Reyniers, Hans Van De Vyver, and Laurent Delobbe
11:30–11:45
EMS2018-486
Post-processing of hourly rainfall for hydrological and weather warning-oriented applications
Maxime Taillardat
11:45–12:00
EMS2018-576
Development of “ecPoint-Rainfall”, a New Post-Processing System for Probabilistic Forecasting of Rainfall Totals at Point-Scale
Fatima Pillosu and Tim Hewson
12:00–12:15
EMS2018-510 | presentation
Use of spatial predictors in clustered model output statistics (MOS) forecasting system
Jussi Ylhäisi, Laila Daniel, Matti Horttanainen, Marko Laine, Leila Hieta, and Reinhold Hess
12:15–12:30
EMS2018-619
0-6 hour Weather Forecast Guidance at The Weather Company
Todd Hutchinson
Lunch break
Part 2

14:00–14:15
EMS2018-125 | presentation
Multi-model Ensemble Forecasting of Exceptional Winter Weather
Ken Mylne
14:15–14:30
EMS2018-384
Comparative verification of wind forecasts in complex topography
Jonas Bhend, Daniel Cattani, and Mark A. Liniger
14:30–14:45
EMS2018-133
Deterministic post-processing of the wind speed numerical weather prediction
Iris Odak Plenkovic, Luca Delle Monache, Kristian Horvath, and Mario Hrastinski
14:45–15:00
EMS2018-166
Verification of Relative-Extreme Events
Michael Sharpe
15:00–15:15
EMS2018-550
Validation of Adriac, the new coupled wave-ocean forecasting system for the Adriatic Sea of Arpae-SIMC
Lidia Bressan, Andrea Valentini, and Tiziana Paccagnella
15:15–15:30
EMS2018-733 | presentation
Probabilistic Low-Visibility Nowcasting and the Benefit from Ceilometer Backscatter Profiles
Philipp Kneringer, Sebastian J. Dietz, Georg J. Mayr, and Achim Zeileis
15:30–15:45
EMS2018-540
Efforts to develop a quantitative definition of cloud base height for aviation
Daniel Klaus, Ranvir S. Dhillon, Ulrich Görsdorf, Joshua D. Vande Hey, and Ingo Lange
15:45–16:00
Poster pitches