Orals OSA1.5
|
OSA1.5 Forecast verification |
| Convener: Marion Mittermaier | Co-Conveners: Manfred Dorninger , Anna Ghelli |
|
Thursday, 6 September 2018 Room E II Chairperson: Manfred Dorninger |
|
| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2018-48
On the impact of observation uncertainty on ensemble verification results Zied Ben Bouallegue |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2018-557
| presentation
Catchment-based precipitation and river flow ensemble forecast skill in the presence of observation uncertainty Gabriella Csima, Seonaid Dey, Marion Mittermaier, Steven Cole, and Robert Moore |
| 17:00–17:15 |
EMS2018-468
Verification of extreme events for ensemble forecasts using proper scoring rules and extreme value theory Maxime Taillardat, Anne-Laure Fougères, and Philippe Naveau |
| 17:15–17:30 |
EMS2018-551
Preliminary analysis of binary distance metrics used for verification of precipitation forecasts Gregor Skok and Eric Gilleland |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2018-820
Warnings verification at the Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia Lovro Kalin |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2018-318
Verification of Arctic sea ice seasonal predictive capacity in initialized re-forecasts with the CNRM-CM6-1 GCM Lauriane Batté, Matthieu Chevallier, and Constantin Ardilouze |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2018-861
| presentation
Flip-Flop Index: Quantifying Revision Stability for Fixed Event Forecasts Deryn Griffiths, Michael Foley, Ioanna Ioannou, Tennessee Leeuwenburg, Nicholas Loveday, Benjamin Price, Alexei Hider, and Harry Jack |
| 18:15–18:30 |
Poster introductions (1 min each)
|