Communicating science and dealing with Uncertainties
DEALING with UNCERTAINTIES
This session will also include examples of how science can and should support decision-making. In this context a special section this year will be dedicated to the highly important issue of Dealing with Uncertainties:
Weather forecasts have matured substantially in providing reliable probabilistic predictions, with a useful quantification of forecast uncertainties. Including this information in the communication of forecasts and warnings, and integrating it into downstream models and decision-making processes has become increasingly common practice.
Including uncertainties not only implies the interpretation of ‘raw’ uncertainty information in ensemble forecasts, their post-processing, and visualization, but also the integration of a wide range of non-meteorological aspects such as vulnerability and exposure data to estimate risk and the social, psychological and economic aspects which affect human decision-making.
In this session, we aim to support a holistic perspective on issues that arise when making use of uncertainty information of weather forecasts in decision processes and applications.
09:10–09:20
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EMS2024-310
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Onsite presentation
09:20–09:30
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EMS2024-851
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Onsite presentation
09:30–09:40
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EMS2024-341
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Onsite presentation
09:50–10:00
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EMS2024-1063
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Onsite presentation
10:00–10:10
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EMS2024-601
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Onsite presentation
10:10–10:20
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EMS2024-961
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Onsite presentation
10:20–10:30
Discussion