Astronomy has always had a unique way of capturing the imagination of everyone who gazes at the night sky. Leveraging this unique position, we can be seen as ambassadors of science, and our professional training enables us to process large datasets to convey complex ideas. Our goal was to move away from pure climate variables usually presented in the context of climate change, such as temperature, and derive an index that quantifies the change in people’s quality of life. The PLEES index is based on Maslow’s pyramid of needs and captures the impact of climate change on various aspects of life, from poverty to satisfaction with life. We will present the motivation and science behind our index and graphically show how the index (and our quality of life) will be impacted under different climate change scenarios. In this talk, we will also touch on the difficulties we faced in these interdisciplinary projects and discuss our advantages and unique position that our formal astrophysics education afforded us.
Introduction and Motivation
The latest intergovernmental panel on climate change report (IPCC, 2023) calls for urgent climate action. The findings state that the target warming of 1.5 degrees by 2100 with respect to pre-industrial level is increasingly out of reach, while keeping warming below 2 degrees is still possible with the right actions. Global action is lagging and raising awareness that conveys to the public the urgency of curbing greenhouse gas emission is crucial to reach the tipping point that would trigger necessary action.
According to Malcolm Gladwell, three factors can influence a social tipping point: the people involved in it, in particular those with the ability to spread this social trend, the content of the idea, and the power of the moment. Otto et al. (2020) suggested that achieving such kind of social dynamics could enable the decarbonization of our societies by 2050. Given the facts listed above, we reflected on novel ways to spread awareness on climate change, to engage more people and try to reach this social tipping point as fast as possible.
In this talk, we will introduce the PLEES project led by astrophysicists and geologists to show how interdisciplinary collaboration can lead to new results and bring us closer to the tipping point. The PLEES index reflects the Poverty rate, Life Expectancy, Employment rate, and life Satisfaction of the countries in the world and can be projected under different climate change scenarios (RCP, Representative Concentration Pathways).
Method
Maslow (1943) argued that human motivation is driven by needs and identified five levels of human needs, arranged hierarchically.With the lowest level corresponding to physiological needs (food, water), followed by safety needs (shelter, health, job), social belonging needs (family, friendships), esteem needs (respect, achievements) and finally self-fulfilment need (personal fulfilment). Once the basic needs are satisfied a person develops higher level needs. Building on the pyramid representation of the hierarchy, we associated each level with a specific indicator. This conceptual mapping is illustrated in Fig.1, showing Maslow’s hierarchy of needson the left with the corresponding pyramid that reflects the quantifiable and measurable elements used to construct the PLEES index on the right. For instance, poverty is positioned at the base of the PLEES pyramid, mirroring the role of physiological needs in Maslow’s structure. Each selected indicator is then linked to one or more climate-related phenomena through detailed correlation analysis. The PLEES index itself is composed of the P, L E, E, and S sub-indices, each varying between 0 and 1, yielding a score from 0 to 4. It is calculated for all countries with available data and projected under various RCPs.
Figure 1: The pyramid on the left shows the hierarchy of needs (Maslow,1943). The pyramid on
the right shows the structure of the PLEES index, which uses quantifiable properties to measure the achievement of each level in the pyramid. The top two levels of the left pyramid are merged together in the right one, for simplicity.
Results
Using historical and current data, we computed the PLEES index in 1975 and 2020. We then projected the index under two RCPs scenarios, to demonstrate how different countries will be impacted in their life quality in the future. The first panel of Fig.2 shows this change of the PLEES index from 1975 to 2020. Red shades show a decrease in the PLEES index of a country, whilst blue shades show an improvement. This comparison to the recent past provides comprehensive information for what such a change actually entails. The second and third panels of Fig.2 show that the PLEES index will change from 2020 to 2050, under the intermediate RCP 4.5 scenario and the “business-as-usual” scenario RCP 8.5, respectively. These panels demonstrate that the changes to the index are much more significant than the changes the world has experienced in the past. While many countries in Africa and South America saw an increase in their life quality, as probed by the PLEES index, between 1975 and 2020, most countries will experience losses in life comfort in the future, regardless of the RCP scenario. European countries and the US will not be spared, as attested by the dark red color in the bottom panel of Fig.2.

Figure 2: The change of PLEES index over time per country. Top panel: difference between 1975 and 2020. Middle panel: difference between 2020 and 2050 under the RCP 4.5 scenario. Bottom panel: difference between 2020 and 2050 under the RCP 8.5 scenario.