Oral program 09

09

Improving ground-motion prediction for regional and site-specific seismic hazard assessments
Conveners: John Douglas , Benjamin Edwards , Carlo Cauzzi 
Session details
Oral program
 / Mon, 05 Sep, 14:30–17:30  / Room Oceania C
 / Tue, 06 Sep, 11:30–17:15  / Room Oceania C
Poster program
 / Attendance Tue, 06 Sep, 10:30–11:30  / Poster area
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Monday, 05 Sep 2016
Room Oceania C
Chairperson: John Douglas and Carlo Cauzzi
Uncertainties in ground motion prediction

14:30–14:45
ESC2016-63
Retrospectively checking the epistemic uncertainty required in logic trees for ground-motion prediction
John Douglas
14:45–15:00
ESC2016-232
Estimation and Effects of Epistemic Uncertainty in Non-Ergodic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Nicolas Kuehn and Norman Abrahamson
15:00–15:15
ESC2016-604
Robustness of Epistemic Uncertainties in Regional Ground Motion Models
Laurentiu Danciu and Domenico Giardini
15:15–15:30
ESC2016-329
Partitioning of epistemic uncertainty and aleatory variability in site specific PSHA
Simone Barani and Daniele Spallarossa
15:30–15:45
ESC2016-535
Aleatory variability associated with GMPEs versus seismological models: the case of central Italy
Francesca Pacor, Dino Bindi, Daniele Spallarossa, Adrien Oth, Maria D'amico, and Chiara Felicetta
15:45–16:00
ESC2016-249
Contribution of the SIGMA research programme to quantify the uncertainties in seismic hazard assessment
Gloria Senfaute, Alain Pecker, Pierre Labbé, Jean François Sidaner, Catherine Berge-Thierry, Jean Pierre Rzepka, and Paolo Contri
16:00–16:15
Discussion

Site-specific seismic hazard

16:15–16:30
ESC2016-277
Relaxing the ergodic assumption in Europe and Middle East: from ground motion regional attributes to site-specific hazard curves
Sreeram-Reddy Kotha, Dino Bindi, and Fabrice Cotton
16:30–16:45
ESC2016-557
Site-specific characterization, single station sigma, host-to-target adjustments and non-linear behavior: Combined effects on seismic hazard estimates.
Claudia Aristizábal, Céline Beauval, and Pierre-Yves Bard
16:45–17:00
ESC2016-543
Influence of GMPEs on Site-specific Uniform Hazard Spectra. Case study for Iasi, Romania
Radu Vacareanu, Florin Pavel, Mihail Iancovici, and Alexandru Aldea
17:00–17:15
ESC2016-124
Soil-invariant seismic hazard and disaggregation
Iunio Iervolino
17:15–17:30
ESC2016-39
Selection of Ground Motion Prediction Equations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessments of the Izmit Bay Bridge
Giovanni Li Destri Nicosia and Zeynep Gülerce

Tuesday, 06 Sep 2016
Room Oceania C
Chairperson: John Douglas and Carlo Cauzzi
Regional seismic hazard studies and ground motion models

11:30–11:45
ESC2016-328
Did two decades of ground motion prediction equations improve seismic hazard estimates in Italy?
Simone Barani, Dario Albarello, Marco Massa, and Daniele Spallarossa
11:45–12:00
ESC2016-210
Ranking ground-motion prediction models in different seismotectonic contexts: the experience for the new Italian seismic hazard model (MPS16)
Giovanni Lanzano, Lucia Luzi, Francesca Pacor, Rodolfo Puglia, Vera D'Amico, Carlo Meletti, Warner Marzocchi, Renata Rotondi, and Elisa Varini
12:00–12:15
ESC2016-273
Ground motion prediction equation tailored for specific hazard assessment: the case of updating PSHA in Germany
Dino Bindi, Fabrice Cotton, Gottfried Gruenthal, Christian Bosse, and Sreeram-Reddy Kotha
12:15–12:30
Discussion

12:30–12:45
ESC2016-116
Austrian empirical seismic ground motion models and site effects
Stefan Weginger, Yan Jia, and Wolfgang Lenhardt
12:45–13:00
ESC2016-326
A new 3D attenuation model for the southern Aegean subduction zone: Implications for the ground-motion prediction equations of intermediate earthquakes.
Harris Kkallas, Chrisa Ventouzi, Costas Papazachos, David Boore, and Vasilis Margaris
Lunch break
Chairperson: John Douglas and Carlo Cauzzi
Synthetic and near-source ground motion modelling

14:30–14:45
ESC2016-66
Using ground-motion simulations to estimate components of aleatory variability and the level of stress accumulation
Hideo Aochi, John Douglas, and Thomas Ulrich
14:45–15:00
ESC2016-230
Validation of a 3D geo-model for physics-based numerical prediction of the earthquake ground-motion in the Po Plain (Italy)
Peter Klin, Giovanna Laurenzano, Maria Adelaide Romano, Enrico Priolo, and Luca Martelli
15:00–15:15
ESC2016-49
The role of vertical ground motion components in the epicentral area of a buried source: insights from numerical modelling
Giacomo Peruzzi, Dario Albarello, Stefano Grimaz, and Petra Malisan
15:15–15:30
ESC2016-390
Variability of the simulated ground motion from a set of source models of the 2011 Mw5.2 Lorca earthquake
Luca Moratto, Angela Saraò, Alessandro Vuan, Marco Mucciarelli, Maria Jose Jimenez, and Mariano García-Fernández
15:30–15:45
ESC2016-440
Near-field earthquake shaking generated by kinematic rupture simulations in the Istanbul area
Carlo Cauzzi, Marco Stupazzini, Roberto Paolucci, Maria Infantino, and Chiara Smerzini
15:45–16:00 ESC2016-178
Mixed Effect of Directivity and Directionality for Near Fault Pulse Type Ground Motions (withdrawn)
saed moghimi and sinan akkar
16:00–16:15
ESC2016-81
Stochastic finite-fault ground motion simulation in seismic hazard assessment – is it worth the extra effort?
Mathilde B. Sørensen
Reference rock and site amplification

16:15–16:30
ESC2016-636
Towards the definition of reference motions (1000 < Vs < 3000 m/s): analysis of the KiK-net data and correction of the local site effects
Aurore Laurendeau, Pierre-Yves Bard, Fabrice Hollender, Olga-Joan Ktenidou, Laetitia Foundotos, Bruno Hernandez, and Vincent Perron
16:30–16:45 ESC2016-443
Vs30 as a proxy for site-response – regional difference and suggested practice (withdrawn)
Ronnie Kamai, Norm Abrahamson, and Walt Silva
16:45–17:00
ESC2016-714
Applicability of Site Fundamental Frequency as a Descriptive Variable for Site Response in Central and Eastern North America
Behzad Hassani and Gail M. Atkinson
17:00–17:15
ESC2016-16
Site Effect Study in the Ankara Region During the Moderate Bala Earthquake Series
Mustafa K Koçkar