Oral program 13
|
13 From active faulting and geodynamic data to the assessment of seismic hazard: New constraints and challenges ahead |
| Conveners: Vanja Kastelic , Kurt Decker , Katalin Gribovszki , Andrea Hampel , Erika Hegymegi , Antonella Peresan , Karin Sesetyan , Gianluca Valensise |
|
Oral program
/ Tue, 06 Sep, 14:30–17:30
/ Room Vulcania 1
/ Wed, 07 Sep, 11:30–17:30 / Room Vulcania 1
Poster program
/ Attendance Wed, 07 Sep, 10:30–11:30
/ Poster area
|
|
Tuesday, 6 September 2016 Room Vulcania 1 Chairperson: Kastelic,Decker, Valensise, Sesetyan |
|
| 14:30–14:35 |
Introduction of the Session
|
|
Active faults and fault databases in seismic hazard studies
|
|
| 14:35–14:50 |
ESC2016-479
From neotectonic data to seismogenic sources in South America: Results and lessons learned from the SARA project Carlos Costa, Julio Garcia, Alexandra Alvarado, Franck Audemard, Laurence Audin, Carlos Benavente, F. Hilario Bezerra, José Cembrano, Gabriel González, Myriam López, Estela Minaya, Mónica Paolini, Irene Pérez, Isabel Santibanez, Mónica Arcila, Fabrizio Delgado, and Marco Pagani |
| 14:50–15:05 |
ESC2016-563
Neotectonics in the SW Pannonian Basin: Active faults in the Bilogora area (NE Croatia) and assessment of their seismogenic potential Bojan Matoš, Bruno Tomljenović, Marijan Herak, and Marjana Zajc |
| 15:05–15:20 |
ESC2016-286
The Dinaric Faults System: large-scale structure and rates of slip of the transpressive northeastern boundary of the Adria microplate (withdrawn) Adrien Moulin, Lucilla Benedetti, Magali Rizza, Petra Jamsek-Rupnik, Andrej Gosar, Didier Bourlès, and Jean-François Ritz |
| 15:20–15:35 |
ESC2016-654
Database of active faults as a first step towards new seismic hazard map of Slovenia Jure Atanackov, Petra Jamšek Rupnik, Jernej Jež, Blaž Milanič, Bogomir Celarc, Matevž Novak, Anže Markelj, and Miloš Bavec |
| 15:35–15:50 |
ESC2016-608
Fifteen years of loyal service to the seismic hazard community: the Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources, relevance and opportunities Roberto Basili, Pierfrancesco Burrato, Umberto Fracassi, Vanja Kastelic, Francesco Emanuele Maesano, Mara Monica Tiberti, Gabriele Tarabusi, Gianluca Valensise, and Paola Vannoli |
| 15:50–15:55 |
Discussion
|
|
Crustal and subduction fault characteristics and their seismicity
|
|
| 15:55–16:25 |
ESC2016-455
Bayesian estimation of paleo-earthquake magnitudes from multiple observations (invited talk) Esther Hintersberger and Kurt Decker |
| 16:25–16:40 |
ESC2016-219
Review of seismic gaps and gap model for the South American subduction zone Frank Roth, Torsten Dahm, and Sebastian Hainzl |
| 16:40–16:55 |
ESC2016-577
Three-dimensional numerical modeling of temperature and dehydration fields associated with subduction of the Philippine Sea plate, southwest Japan Shoichi Yoshioka, Yingfeng Ji, and Takumi Matsumoto |
| 16:55–17:10 |
ESC2016-357
Seismicity and nowadays movements along northern part of Aegean region - Bulgaria Valentina Protopopova, Ivan Georgiev, Emil Botev, and Najibullah Kakar |
| 17:10–17:25 |
ESC2016-616
Kinematics of present-day 3D surface displacement of the southwester Tien Shan with GPS and InSAR data: Implications for active tectonics and seismic hazards Jie Li, Xiaoqiang Wang, Qi Wang, Daiqing Liu, Sergey Kuzikov, Haitao Wang, and Xuejun Qiao |
| 17:25–17:30 |
Discussion
|
|
Wednesday, 7 September 2016 Room Vulcania 1 Chairperson: Peresan, Gribovszki, Hegymegi |
|
|
Long-term evidence of past earthquakes: new observations and constraints for SHA
|
|
| 11:30–11:45 |
ESC2016-3
Contribution to the estimation of long return period seismic hazard of Beirut area from speleothem studies (invited talk) Corinne Lacave, Benjamin Sadier, Jean-Jacques Delannoy, and Juan-José Egozcue |
| 11:45–12:00 |
ESC2016-236
What do we know for assessing of seismic hazard? (invited talk) Vladimir Kossobokov |
| 12:00–12:15 |
ESC2016-366
The influence of earthquake source uncertainties and occurrence properties on NDSHA maps Andrea Magrin, Antonella Peresan, and Giuliano F. Panza |
| 12:15–12:30 |
ESC2016-146
Time-clustering analysis of seismicity of the oil and gas deposits area through Absheron-Prebalkhan tectonic structure (Azerbaijan) Gulam Babayev, Luciano Telesca, and Fakhraddin Kadirov |
| 12:30–12:45 |
ESC2016-705
Coseismic Ground effects of the 2016 Mw 7.8 Pedernales Earthquake (Ecuador) Kervin Chunga, Maurizio Mulas, Davide Besenzon, Alexander Gorshkov, Carola Gordillo, and Glenda Loayza |
| 12:45–13:00 |
Discussion
|
|
Lunch break
|
|
|
Fault characteristics, stress data, strain rates and long-term deformation models; input for SHA
|
|
| 14:30–14:45 |
ESC2016-587
The 2013, ML 4.9, Matese earthquake (Southern Apennines, Italy): A “deep” normal faulting earthquake or an earthquake at frictional-to-viscous transition? Guido Maria Adinolfi, Raffaella De Matteis, Aldo Zollo, Alessandra Ascione, and Stefano Mazzoli |
| 14:45–15:00 |
ESC2016-438
Creep and locking of a low-angle normal fault: Insights from the Altotiberina fault in the Northern Apennines (Italy) Letizia Anderlini, Enrico Serpelloni, and Maria Elina Belardinelli |
| 15:00–15:30 |
ESC2016-488
Neotectonic deformation models as input for earthquake rate calculation (invited talk) Michele Carafa |
| 15:30–15:45 |
ESC2016-98
The integration of stress, strain, and seismogenic fault data: towards more robust estimates of the earthquake potential in Italy and its surroundings Alessandro Caporali, Carla Braitenberg, Paola Montone, Giuliana Rossi, and Gianluca Valensise |
| 15:45–16:00 |
ESC2016-327
Partition of strain rates in Southwestern Canada for new regional earthquake hazard models Simone Barani, Yan Jiang, Thomas S. James, and John F. Cassidy |
| 16:00–16:05 |
Discussion
|
|
Including active fault and geodynamic models to SHA; modeler's requirements and results
|
|
| 16:05–16:35 |
ESC2016-544
Active faults in regional seismic hazard models: use and modelling insights (invited talk) Laurentiu Danciu and Domenico Giardini |
| 16:35–16:50 |
ESC2016-369
Understanding the Requirements of Geology in Earthquake Hazard Assessment from the Perspective of Seismic Source Modellers and Hazard Users Graeme Weatherill and Marco Pagani |
| 16:50–17:05 |
ESC2016-399
Seismic hazard of the Northern Apennines based on 3D seismic sources Martelli Luca, Sani Federico, Bonini Marco, Corti Giacomo, Santulin Marco, Alberto Tamaro, Rebez Alessandro, and Slejko Dario |
| 17:05–17:10 |
Discussion
|
| 17:10–17:30 |
Overall discussion, Session closure
|