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Oral Programme Plinius 14

Plinius 14

14th EGU Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms and MEDEX Final Conference
Conveners: G. Boni , S. Dietrich , F. Guzzetti , A. Jansa , M.-C. Llasat , A. Mugnai , E. Richard , E. A. Smith , S. Tinti , G. J. Tripoli 
Oral Programme
 / Tue, 13 Nov, 09:00–18:05  / Room Sala Plutón
 / Wed, 14 Nov, 09:00–18:00  / Room Sala Plutón
 / Thu, 15 Nov, 09:00–17:30  / Room Sala Plutón
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Tue, 13 Nov, 15:15–15:35  / Display Tue, 13 Nov, 09:00–Thu, 15 Nov, 17:30  / Salas Urano y Mercurio
 / Attendance Wed, 14 Nov, 15:15–15:40  / Display Tue, 13 Nov, 09:00–Thu, 15 Nov, 17:30  / Salas Urano y Mercurio

Tuesday, 13 November 2012
Room Sala Plutón
09:00–09:45
Opening

Break
Geological and marine consequences of the Mediterranean storms

10:00–10:30
Plinius14-55
21st century projections for the Mediterranean Sea (invited lecture)
D. Gomis, G. Jordà, and M. Marcos
10:30–10:45
Plinius14-6
First interdisciplinary approach to the effects of an extreme climate event on Mediterranean coastal assemblages
M.A. Mateo and the Sant Esteve 2008
10:45–11:00
Plinius14-34
Application of new climate change results to Venice tide statistics
R. Mel, P. Lionello, and A. Sterl
Coffee Break
Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms

11:30–12:00
Plinius14-56
An overview of a cyclone phase space and its application to eastern Atlantic and Mediterranean hybrid cyclones (invited lecture)
R. Hart
12:00–12:15
Plinius14-11
Current and future medicane risk based on the generation of synthetic storms
R. Romero and K. A. Emanuel
12:15–12:30
Plinius14-31
Climate change effects on medicanes based on a dynamical downscaling method
M. Tous, R. Romero, and C. Ramis
12:30–12:45
Plinius14-33
Medicanes of 2011 and Hurricane Rina
G. J. Tripoli, A. Mugnai, and E. A. Smith
12:45–13:00
Plinius14-37
Impact of a North Atlantic hurricane on the predictability of a Medicane
F. Pantillon, J.-P. Chaboureau, C. Lac, and P. Mascart
13:00–13:15
Plinius14-51
A long-term climatology of medicanes
L. Cavicchia, S. Gualdi, and H. von Storch
Lunch Break
15:15–15:33
Poster Presentations

Coffee Break & Poster Viewing
Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms

16:35–17:05
Plinius14-54
Adriatic Extreme Weather - State of the Art (invited lecture)
B. Ivančan-Picek
17:05–17:20
Plinius14-9
Long-term trends and variability of precipitation extremes in North Africa
Y. Tramblay, S. El Adlouni, and E. Servat
17:20–17:35
Plinius14-18
Bayesian trend analysis of extreme wind hazard using observed and hindcast series off Catalan coast, NE Mediterranean Sea
J. J. Egozcue, M. I. Ortego, J. Cunillera, and R. Tolosana-Delgado
17:35–17:50
Plinius14-24
Modelling and errors for short duration Mediterranean storm events: ranking of uncertainties
A. Sánchez-Arcilla, A. Sairouni, M. Bravo, J. Gómez, and R. Tolosana-Delgado
17:50–18:05
Plinius14-26
Heavy rainfall episodes over Liguria: elements controlling forecast errors of quantitative precipitation
A. Buzzi, S. Davolio, and P. Malguzzi

Wednesday, 14 November 2012
Room Sala Plutón
Mediterranean storms monitoring

09:00–09:30
Plinius14-57
Ubiquitous & Complex Nature of Diurnal Rainfall Processes from TRMM & CloudSat Measurements: Is Mediterranean Basin Representative of Rest of Earth? (invited lecture)
E. A. Smith
09:30–09:45
Plinius14-2
Modeling the flash rate in thunderstorms: an implementation into the CRAMS model.
S. Federico, E. Avolio, M. Petracca, G. Panegrossi, and S. Dietrich
09:45–10:00
Plinius14-3
Application of two passive microwave precipitation retrieval algorithms to heavy precipitation events in the Mediterranean region during 2011 and 2012 fall seasons
G. Panegrossi, D. Casella, S. Dietrich, A. Mugnai, M. Petracca, P. Sanò, E. A. Smith, and G. J. Tripoli
10:00–10:15
Plinius14-13
Investigation on extreme daily rainfall estimation using MSG MPE approach for North Tunisia
S. Dhib, Z. Bargaoui, and C. Mannaerts
10:15–10:30
Plinius14-20
Gravity wave characteristics in the middle atmosphere at Palma de Mallorca due to a Mediterranean tropical storm and fronts
R. Kramer, S. Wüst, M. Bittner, C. Schmidt, and A. Jansá
Coffee Break
Hydrometeorology and hydrology of the Mediterranean storms

11:00–11:30
Plinius14-58
The use of Spatially Distributed Soil Moisture Estimation for Hydrological Applications (invited lecture)
L. Brocca, F. Melone, T. Moramarco, and W. Wagner
11:30–11:45
Plinius14-10
Estimation of antecedent wetness conditions for flood modeling in Northern Morocco
Y. Tramblay, R. Bouaicha, L. Brocca, W. Dorigo, C. Bouvier, S. Camici, and E. Servat
11:45–12:00
Plinius14-12
Study of IDF curves established by the property of scale invariance in Tunis
H. Ghanmi, Z. Barguaoui, and C. Mallet
12:00–12:15
Plinius14-21
Calibration of two Alarm Indexes for Flood Alarm Mapping
E. Cerasani, A. Lombardi, B. Tomassetti, and M. Verdecchia
12:15–12:30
Plinius14-29
The CETEMPS Hydro-Meteorological chain during HyMex
B. Tomassetti, E. Pichelli, A. Lombardi, S. Gentile, E. Cerasani, R. Ferretti, and M. Verdecchia
12:30–12:45
Plinius14-39
Multilinear approach to the precipitation-lightning relationship: a case of study in the northern part of Spain during local summer electrical storms of 2002-2009 period
I. Herrero, A. Ezcurra, J. Areitio, J. Diaz-Argandona, G. Ibarra, and J. Saenz
12:45–13:00
Plinius14-40
A hydro-meteorological description of the 25th October and the 4th November 2011 events in Liguria
S. Gabellani, F. Giannoni, A. Parodi, F. Pignone, N. Rebora, R. Rudari, F. Siccardi, G. Boni, L. Molini, and S. Silvestro
13:00–13:15
Plinius14-41
DRIHM Project: first year achievements
A. Parodi, N. Rebora, D. Kranzlmueller, M. Schiffers, A. Clematis, O. Caumont, E. Richard, L. Garrote, M.C. Llasat, Q. Harpham, B. Jagers, A. Tafferner, C. Forster, V. Dimitrijevic, L. Dekic, P.H. Cros, R. Hooper, A. Galizia, D. D'Agostino, and M. Morando
Lunch Break
15:15–15:36
Poster Presentations

Coffee Break & Poster Viewing
Social impacts of the Mediterranean storms

16:40–16:55
Plinius14-4
A descriptive impact analysis of high impact weather related incidents in Greece for the period 2001-2011
K. Papagiannaki, K. Lagouvardos, and V. Kotroni
16:55–17:10
Plinius14-8
Are flash floods increasing in Catalonia? The role of vulnerability versus hazard
M.C. Llasat, R. Marcos, M. Turco, M. Llasat-Botija, and J. Gilabert
17:10–18:00
Reserve


Thursday, 15 November 2012
Room Sala Plutón
Mediterranean storms monitoring

09:00–09:15
Plinius14-27
On the effects of the cloud vertical structure on lightning production
M. Buiat, S. Dietrich, and F. Porcù
09:15–09:30
Plinius14-38
Observation and modeling of the cloud electrical activity during HyMeX
J.-P. Pinty, S. Coquillat, J.-M. Martin, S. Prieur, E. Defer, W. Rison, P. Krehbiel, and D. Rodeheffer
09:30–09:45
Plinius14-42
Novel Meteorological Applications using Microwave Communication Networks & New emerging avenues in atmospheric research
P. Alpert, R. Samuels, and N. David
Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms

09:45–10:00
Plinius14-28
The Intensive Observation Period in Italy during the HyMex campaign
R. Ferretti and the HyMeX Italy
10:00–10:15
Plinius14-30
An analysis of three disastrous rain events occurred in Italy: Rome, Cinque Terre and Genoa
R. Ferretti, G. Panegrossi, R. Rotunno, E. Pichelli, F. S. Marzano, S. Dietrich, E. Picciotti, and G. Vulpiani
10:15–10:30
Plinius14-35
Hirlam forecast impact to extra observations for some Mediterranean high impact weather events
J. Campins and B. Navascués
Coffee Break
11:00–11:15
Plinius14-45
Towards a new BOLAM-MOLOCH chain: Forecast evaluation over the MAP D-PHASE DOP and HyMeX SOP
S. Mariani, M. Casaioli, P. Malguzzi, and A. Speranza
11:15–11:30
Plinius14-47
Stationary nocturnal offshore precipitation near the coastline in the Mediterranean basin
J. Mazon and D. Pino
11:30–11:45
Plinius14-48
The greatest recent flood in Spain: a WRF simulation of the 1962 Valles flood event
J. Mazon and D. Pino
11:45–12:00
Plinius14-53
Numerical study of two convective lines observed during HyMeX
A. Hally and E. Richard
12:00–13:00
HyMeX debriefing

Lunch Break
Specific session on MEDEX

15:00–15:15
Plinius14-5
Extreme Value Statistics in highly resolved Climate Change Simulations for the Jordan River Area
R Samuels, G Smiatek, S Krichak, H Kunstmann, and P Alpert
15:15–15:30
Plinius14-7
MEDEX: A general overview
A. Jansa
15:30–15:45
Plinius14-14
Ensemble prediction systems based on potential vorticity perturbations and multiphysics tested for MEDEX events. A medicane event application.
M. Vich and R. Romero
15:45–16:00
Plinius14-17
Sensitivities of Mediterranean High Impact Weather: From MEDEX to Ghostbusting?
V. Homar, L. Garcies, and A. Jansà
16:00–16:15
Plinius14-49
Are current sensitivity products sufficiently informative in targeting campaigns? A DTS-MEDEX-2009 case study.
L. Garcies and V. Homar
Coffee Break
16:45–17:30
MEDEX round table