Oral Programme Plinius 14
Plinius 14 14th EGU Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms and MEDEX Final Conference |
Conveners: Giorgio Boni , Stefano Dietrich , Fausto Guzzetti , Agusti Jansa , Maria-Carmen Llasat , Alberto Mugnai , Evelyne Richard , Eric A. Smith , Stefano Tinti , Gregory J. Tripoli |
Oral Programme
/ Tue, 13 Nov, 09:00–18:05
/ Room Sala Plutón
/ Wed, 14 Nov, 09:00–18:00 / Room Sala Plutón / Thu, 15 Nov, 09:00–17:30 / Room Sala Plutón
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Tue, 13 Nov, 15:15–15:35
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/ Attendance Wed, 14 Nov, 15:15–15:40 / |
Tuesday, 13 November 2012 Room Sala Plutón |
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09:00–09:45 |
Opening
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Break
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Geological and marine consequences of the Mediterranean storms
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10:00–10:30 |
Plinius14-55
21st century projections for the Mediterranean Sea (invited lecture) D. Gomis, G. Jordà, and M. Marcos |
10:30–10:45 |
Plinius14-6
First interdisciplinary approach to the effects of an extreme climate event on Mediterranean coastal assemblages M.A. Mateo and the Sant Esteve 2008 |
10:45–11:00 |
Plinius14-34
Application of new climate change results to Venice tide statistics R. Mel, P. Lionello, and A. Sterl |
Coffee Break
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Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms
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11:30–12:00 |
Plinius14-56
An overview of a cyclone phase space and its application to eastern Atlantic and Mediterranean hybrid cyclones (invited lecture) R. Hart |
12:00–12:15 |
Plinius14-11
Current and future medicane risk based on the generation of synthetic storms R. Romero and K. A. Emanuel |
12:15–12:30 |
Plinius14-31
Climate change effects on medicanes based on a dynamical downscaling method M. Tous, R. Romero, and C. Ramis |
12:30–12:45 |
Plinius14-33
Medicanes of 2011 and Hurricane Rina G. J. Tripoli, A. Mugnai, and E. A. Smith |
12:45–13:00 |
Plinius14-37
Impact of a North Atlantic hurricane on the predictability of a Medicane F. Pantillon, J.-P. Chaboureau, C. Lac, and P. Mascart |
13:00–13:15 |
Plinius14-51
A long-term climatology of medicanes L. Cavicchia, S. Gualdi, and H. von Storch |
Lunch Break
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15:15–15:33 |
Poster Presentations
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing
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Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms
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16:35–17:05 |
Plinius14-54
Adriatic Extreme Weather - State of the Art (invited lecture) B. Ivančan-Picek |
17:05–17:20 |
Plinius14-9
Long-term trends and variability of precipitation extremes in North Africa Y. Tramblay, S. El Adlouni, and E. Servat |
17:20–17:35 |
Plinius14-18
Bayesian trend analysis of extreme wind hazard using observed and hindcast series off Catalan coast, NE Mediterranean Sea J. J. Egozcue, M. I. Ortego, J. Cunillera, and R. Tolosana-Delgado |
17:35–17:50 |
Plinius14-24
Modelling and errors for short duration Mediterranean storm events: ranking of uncertainties A. Sánchez-Arcilla, A. Sairouni, M. Bravo, J. Gómez, and R. Tolosana-Delgado |
17:50–18:05 |
Plinius14-26
Heavy rainfall episodes over Liguria: elements controlling forecast errors of quantitative precipitation A. Buzzi, S. Davolio, and P. Malguzzi |
Wednesday, 14 November 2012 Room Sala Plutón |
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Mediterranean storms monitoring
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09:00–09:30 |
Plinius14-57
Ubiquitous & Complex Nature of Diurnal Rainfall Processes from TRMM & CloudSat Measurements: Is Mediterranean Basin Representative of Rest of Earth? (invited lecture) E. A. Smith |
09:30–09:45 |
Plinius14-2
Modeling the flash rate in thunderstorms: an implementation into the CRAMS model. S. Federico, E. Avolio, M. Petracca, G. Panegrossi, and S. Dietrich |
09:45–10:00 |
Plinius14-3
Application of two passive microwave precipitation retrieval algorithms to heavy precipitation events in the Mediterranean region during 2011 and 2012 fall seasons G. Panegrossi, D. Casella, S. Dietrich, A. Mugnai, M. Petracca, P. Sanò, E. A. Smith, and G. J. Tripoli |
10:00–10:15 |
Plinius14-13
Investigation on extreme daily rainfall estimation using MSG MPE approach for North Tunisia S. Dhib, Z. Bargaoui, and C. Mannaerts |
10:15–10:30 |
Plinius14-20
Gravity wave characteristics in the middle atmosphere at Palma de Mallorca due to a Mediterranean tropical storm and fronts R. Kramer, S. Wüst, M. Bittner, C. Schmidt, and A. Jansá |
Coffee Break
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Hydrometeorology and hydrology of the Mediterranean storms
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11:00–11:30 |
Plinius14-58
The use of Spatially Distributed Soil Moisture Estimation for Hydrological Applications (invited lecture) L. Brocca, F. Melone, T. Moramarco, and W. Wagner |
11:30–11:45 |
Plinius14-10
Estimation of antecedent wetness conditions for flood modeling in Northern Morocco Y. Tramblay, R. Bouaicha, L. Brocca, W. Dorigo, C. Bouvier, S. Camici, and E. Servat |
11:45–12:00 |
Plinius14-12
Study of IDF curves established by the property of scale invariance in Tunis H. Ghanmi, Z. Barguaoui, and C. Mallet |
12:00–12:15 |
Plinius14-21
Calibration of two Alarm Indexes for Flood Alarm Mapping E. Cerasani, A. Lombardi, B. Tomassetti, and M. Verdecchia |
12:15–12:30 |
Plinius14-29
The CETEMPS Hydro-Meteorological chain during HyMex B. Tomassetti, E. Pichelli, A. Lombardi, S. Gentile, E. Cerasani, R. Ferretti, and M. Verdecchia |
12:30–12:45 |
Plinius14-39
Multilinear approach to the precipitation-lightning relationship: a case of study in the northern part of Spain during local summer electrical storms of 2002-2009 period I. Herrero, A. Ezcurra, J. Areitio, J. Diaz-Argandona, G. Ibarra, and J. Saenz |
12:45–13:00 |
Plinius14-40
A hydro-meteorological description of the 25th October and the 4th November 2011 events in Liguria S. Gabellani, F. Giannoni, A. Parodi, F. Pignone, N. Rebora, R. Rudari, F. Siccardi, G. Boni, L. Molini, and S. Silvestro |
13:00–13:15 |
Plinius14-41
DRIHM Project: first year achievements A. Parodi, N. Rebora, D. Kranzlmueller, M. Schiffers, A. Clematis, O. Caumont, E. Richard, L. Garrote, M.C. Llasat, Q. Harpham, B. Jagers, A. Tafferner, C. Forster, V. Dimitrijevic, L. Dekic, P.H. Cros, R. Hooper, A. Galizia, D. D'Agostino, and M. Morando |
Lunch Break
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15:15–15:36 |
Poster Presentations
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing
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Social impacts of the Mediterranean storms
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16:40–16:55 |
Plinius14-4
A descriptive impact analysis of high impact weather related incidents in Greece for the period 2001-2011 K. Papagiannaki, K. Lagouvardos, and V. Kotroni |
16:55–17:10 |
Plinius14-8
Are flash floods increasing in Catalonia? The role of vulnerability versus hazard M.C. Llasat, R. Marcos, M. Turco, M. Llasat-Botija, and J. Gilabert |
17:10–18:00 |
Reserve
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Thursday, 15 November 2012 Room Sala Plutón |
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Mediterranean storms monitoring
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09:00–09:15 |
Plinius14-27
On the effects of the cloud vertical structure on lightning production M. Buiat, S. Dietrich, and F. Porcù |
09:15–09:30 |
Plinius14-38
Observation and modeling of the cloud electrical activity during HyMeX J.-P. Pinty, S. Coquillat, J.-M. Martin, S. Prieur, E. Defer, W. Rison, P. Krehbiel, and D. Rodeheffer |
09:30–09:45 |
Plinius14-42
Novel Meteorological Applications using Microwave Communication Networks & New emerging avenues in atmospheric research P. Alpert, R. Samuels, and N. David |
Diagnosis and prediction of the Mediterranean storms
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09:45–10:00 |
Plinius14-28
The Intensive Observation Period in Italy during the HyMex campaign R. Ferretti and the HyMeX Italy |
10:00–10:15 |
Plinius14-30
An analysis of three disastrous rain events occurred in Italy: Rome, Cinque Terre and Genoa R. Ferretti, G. Panegrossi, R. Rotunno, E. Pichelli, F. S. Marzano, S. Dietrich, E. Picciotti, and G. Vulpiani |
10:15–10:30 |
Plinius14-35
Hirlam forecast impact to extra observations for some Mediterranean high impact weather events J. Campins and B. Navascués |
Coffee Break
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11:00–11:15 |
Plinius14-45
Towards a new BOLAM-MOLOCH chain: Forecast evaluation over the MAP D-PHASE DOP and HyMeX SOP S. Mariani, M. Casaioli, P. Malguzzi, and A. Speranza |
11:15–11:30 |
Plinius14-47
Stationary nocturnal offshore precipitation near the coastline in the Mediterranean basin J. Mazon and D. Pino |
11:30–11:45 |
Plinius14-48
The greatest recent flood in Spain: a WRF simulation of the 1962 Valles flood event J. Mazon and D. Pino |
11:45–12:00 |
Plinius14-53
Numerical study of two convective lines observed during HyMeX A. Hally and E. Richard |
12:00–13:00 |
HyMeX debriefing
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Lunch Break
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Specific session on MEDEX
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15:00–15:15 |
Plinius14-5
Extreme Value Statistics in highly resolved Climate Change Simulations for the Jordan River Area R Samuels, G Smiatek, S Krichak, H Kunstmann, and P Alpert |
15:15–15:30 |
Plinius14-7
MEDEX: A general overview A. Jansa |
15:30–15:45 |
Plinius14-14
Ensemble prediction systems based on potential vorticity perturbations and multiphysics tested for MEDEX events. A medicane event application. M. Vich and R. Romero |
15:45–16:00 |
Plinius14-17
Sensitivities of Mediterranean High Impact Weather: From MEDEX to Ghostbusting? V. Homar, L. Garcies, and A. Jansà |
16:00–16:15 |
Plinius14-49
Are current sensitivity products sufficiently informative in targeting campaigns? A DTS-MEDEX-2009 case study. L. Garcies and V. Homar |
Coffee Break
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16:45–17:30 |
MEDEX round table
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