Oral Programme NP5.1
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NP5.1 Nonlinear instabilities and predictability |
| Convener: Zoltan Toth | Co-Conveners: Stéphane Vannitsem , Wansuo Duan , Ayrton Zadra , Juan Manuel Lopez , Diego Pazó , Sarah Hallerberg |
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Oral Programme
/ Wed, 06 Apr, 08:30–12:00
/ Room 13
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Wed, 06 Apr, 15:30–17:00
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Wednesday, 6 April 2011 Room 13 Chairperson: Mu Mu |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2011-5025
Lyapunov covariant modes and predictability (solicited) Bernard Legras, Guillaume Lapeyre, and Pietro Peterlongo |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2011-2863
Seasonal climate predictability in multiple model ensembles (solicited) Youmin Tang |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2011-5176
Quantifying the limits of oceanic decadal predictability (solicited) Florian Sévellec and Alexey Fedorov |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2011-5455
Relationship between the predictability limit and initial error in chaotic systems (solicited) Jianping Li and Ruiqiang Ding |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2011-4977
Nonlinear sensitivity analysis for small model ensembles Leonid Ivanov, Robin T. Tokmakian, Curtis A. Collins, and Tetyana Margolina |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2011-5415
Dynamics of the error and Lyapunov instability of a moist low-order climate model Stéphane Vannitsem and Aimé Fournier |
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COFFEE BREAK
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2011-5787
Singular vector growth in different flow regimes of the differentially heated rotating annulus (solicited) Uwe Harlander, Torsten Seelig, and Robin Faulwetter |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2011-4717
Dimension-reduced projection 4DVar based on an orthogonal expansion of filtering function (solicited) Bin Wang and Juanjuan Liu |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2011-14068
The MVL Diagram for Fingerprinting GCMs and Ensemble Prediction Systems José Gutiérrez, Miguel A. Rodríguez, Sixto Herrera, and Jesús Fernández |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2011-10537
Development of an ensemble forecasting system for the short-range following different perturbation approaches. Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani, and Tiziana Paccagnella |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2011-3870
Convective Initiation using Diabatic Local Analysis and Prediction System and Weather Research Forecasting Model Isidora Jankov |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2011-9913
A regional ensemble prediction system based on Ensemble Transform Bred Vectors (ETBV) (withdrawn) Jan Keller, Andreas Hense, and Andreas Rhodin |