Poster Programme NP5.1
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NP5.1 Nonlinear instabilities and predictability |
| Convener: Zoltan Toth | Co-Conveners: Stéphane Vannitsem , Wansuo Duan , Ayrton Zadra , Juan Manuel Lopez , Diego Pazó , Sarah Hallerberg |
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Oral Programme
/ Wed, 06 Apr, 08:30–12:00
/ Room 13
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Wed, 06 Apr, 15:30–17:00
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Display time: Wednesday, 6 April 2011 08:00–19:30 Attendance Time: Wednesday, 6 April 2011, 15:30–17:00 Halls X/Y Chairperson: Wansuo Duan, Sarah Hallerberg, Diego Pazo, Ayrton Zadra |
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XY488
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EGU2011-2817
The "spring predictability barrier" for ENSO predictions and its possible mechanism: results from a fully coupled model Wansuo Duan and Chao Wei |
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XY489
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EGU2011-2269
Maximizing the statistical diversity of an ensemble of bred vectors by using the geometric norm Diego Pazó, Miguel A. Rodríguez, and Juan M. López |
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XY490
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EGU2011-10336
Chaotic dynamics of a two-scale Lorenz'96 model: Multiple evolution regimes and large-scale spatial patterns. Miguel Angel Rodriguez, Sixto Herrera, Diego Pazó, Jesús Fernández, and Jose Manuel Gutiérrez |
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XY491
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EGU2011-1541
Does model parameter error in the Zebiak-Cane model cause a significant spring predictability barrier in its El Niño prediction? (solicited) Yanshan Yu, Mu Mu, and Wansuo Duan |
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XY492
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EGU2011-3947
Dynamics of nonlinear error growth and season-dependent predictability of El Nino events in the Zebiak-Cane model Yanshan Yu, Wansuo Duan, Hui Xu, and Mu Mu |
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XY493
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EGU2011-9495
Rescaled Bred Vectors: 'À la carte' ensemble diversity Victor Homar Santaner and David J Stensrud |
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XY494
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EGU2011-2389
Application of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations method to transitions of Kuroshio path south of Japan Libin Ma, Mu Mu, and Qiang Wang |
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XY495
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EGU2011-4921
| presentation
Algorithms for the integration of variational equations of multidimensional Hamiltonian systems Enrico Gerlach, Siegfried Eggl, and Charalampos Skokos |
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XY496
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EGU2011-2809
Response of the grassland ecosystem equilibrium state to climate change within a theoretical model (solicited) Guodong Sun and Mu Mu |
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XY497
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EGU2011-2851
Exploring seasonal variation characters on the net primary production by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation in China Guodong Sun and Mu Mu |
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XY498
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EGU2011-3265
Parallel Ensemble-based Approach for the Computation of Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation Ming Cui |
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XY499
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EGU2011-4562
Assimilation of asymmetric dropsonde data and a bogus vortex using a 4DVar system Juanjuan Liu, Shudong Wang, and Bin Wang |
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XY500
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EGU2011-5727
A Preliminary Application of Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation to Rainfall of Typhoon Fung-wong (2008) Wang Tie, Pan Ye-Sen, Huang Hong, and Tan Yan-ke |
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XY501
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EGU2011-10716
Predictability of stochastic climate models with red noise (solicited) Faming Wang |
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XY502
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EGU2011-2509
Treatment of the error due to unresolved scales in sequential data assimilation Alberto Carrassi and Stephane Vannitsem |
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XY503
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EGU2011-2563
Inclination stability of the planet rotation axis in the solar system Shigehisa Nakamura |
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XY504
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EGU2011-5465
The use of tendencies for post-processing. Analysis of the YOTC forecast data. Bert Van Schaeybroeck and Stéphane Vannitsem |
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XY505
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EGU2011-6429
Post-processing of ensemble precipitation predictions with extended logistic regression based on hindcasts Emmanuel Roulin and Stéphane Vannitsem |
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XY506
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EGU2011-11263
Forecast sufficiency and scoring rules Jochen Broecker |
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XY507
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EGU2011-13318
Ensemble regression exigent analysis applied to a case of Florida citrus damage Daniel Gombos and Ross Hoffman |
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XY508
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EGU2011-1374
DEVELOPMENT of OSCILLATIONS THEORY by PROFESSORS of S.N. KOZHEVNIKOV And I.K. KOSKO. Elizaveta Gorbenko and Galyna Sokol |
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XY509
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EGU2011-4094
Robust ensemble filtering in handling uncertainties in data assimilation Xiaodong Luo and Ibrahim Hoteit |
| XY510 |
EGU2011-10509
The Perturbation Analysis of Nonlinear Ill-conditioned Solution (withdrawn) Hao Weifeng, Li Fei, Zhang Jie, and Shao Xianyuan |
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XY511
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EGU2011-3681
| presentation
Probabilistic precipitation forecasts based on the COSMO-DE time-lagged ensemble Sabrina Bentzien and Petra Friederichs |
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XY512
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EGU2011-3868
Sensitivity of Weather Forecasts over North America to Cycling of Initial Conditions Isidora Jankov |
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XY513
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EGU2011-1822
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Inflation Factors of Error Covariance Matrices for Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation xiaogu zheng and xiao liang |