Posters NP5.2
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NP5.2 Initial error dynamics and model error physics in predictability studies of weather and climate |
| Convener: Mu Mu | Co-Conveners: Wansuo Duan , Stéphane Vannitsem |
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Attendance Time: Thursday, 27 April 2017, 17:30–19:00 Hall X4 Chairperson: Mu Mu, Wansuo Duan, Stéphane Vannitsem |
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X4.182
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EGU2017-7
Using an ICM ensemble prediction system outputs to explore the “spring predictability barrier” for 2015/2016 El Niño event Qianqian Qi, Wansuo Duan, Fei Zheng, and Youmin Tang |
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X4.183
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EGU2017-8
Nonlinearity Modulating Central Pacific- and Eastern Pacific-El Niño Events in Intensities and Spatial Structures Wansuo Duan, Chaoming Huang, and Hui Xu |
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X4.184
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EGU2017-218
Effect of wind stress forcing uncertainties on predictability of the current through the beginning of Kuroshio Xixi Wen and Wansuo Duan |
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X4.185
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EGU2017-2415
Effects of optimal initial errors on predicting the seasonal reduction of the upstream Kuroshio transport Kun Zhang, Qiang Wang, Mu Mu, and Peng Liang |
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X4.186
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EGU2017-2416
Optimal precursors triggering the Kuroshio Extension state transition obtained by the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation approach Xing Zhang, Mu Mu, Qiang Wang, and Stefano Pierini |
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X4.187
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EGU2017-2935
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipiole event predictions Rong Feng, Wansuo Duan, and Mu Mu |
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X4.188
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EGU2017-5455
The Effects of the Amplification of Numerical Noise through Chaos on Predictability Studies Brian Ancell |
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X4.189
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EGU2017-5748
The role of model errors represented by nonlinear forcing singular vector tendency error in causing the “spring predictability barrier” within ENSO predictions Wansuo Duan and Peng Zhao |
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X4.190
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EGU2017-6030
Predictability of Forced Lorenz Systems Baosheng Li, Ruiqiang Ding, Jianping Li, and Quanjia Zhong |
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X4.191
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EGU2017-6631
Determining the spectrum of the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponents in a multidimensional chaotic system Ruiqiang Ding and Jianping Li |
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X4.192
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EGU2017-12560
Optimal error analysis of the intraseasonal convection due to uncertainties of the sea surface temperature in a coupled model Xiaojing Li, Youmin Tang, and Zhixiong Yao |
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X4.193
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EGU2017-18500
The adjoint sensitivity of heavy rainfall to initial conditions in debris flow areas in China Feifan Zhou |
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X4.194
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EGU2017-19445
Seasonal predictability of sea surface temperature anomalies over the Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension: low in summer and high in winter Yujie Wu and Wansuo Duan |
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X4.195
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EGU2017-19446
Comparison of the initial errors most likely to cause a spring predictability barrier for two types of El Niño events Ben Tian |