Orals NP5.2
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NP5.2 Initial error dynamics and model error physics in predictability studies of weather and climate |
| Convener: Mu Mu | Co-Conveners: Wansuo Duan , Stéphane Vannitsem |
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Thursday, 27 April 2017 Room M2 Chairperson: Mu Mu, Wansuo Duan, Stéphane Vannitsem |
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2017-4226
Study of Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vector on Tropical Cyclone predictability Xiaohao Qin, Wansuo Duan, and Hui Xu |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2017-6627
Lyapunov instability properties of a hierarchy of atmospheric models Stéphane Vannitsem |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2017-2791
Improved ensemble-mean forecasting of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic error model of an intermediate coupled model Fei Zheng and Jiang Zhu |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2017-1746
The Climatologically relevant singular vector and its application in climate predictions Xiangming Zhang and Youmin Tang |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2017-14410
A Bayesian approach to test hypotheses about the generation and propagation of systematic decadal climate prediction errors Davide Zanchettin, Carlo Gaetan, Maeregu Woldeyes Arisido, and Angelo Rubino |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2017-8738
Quantification of persistence/predictability barriers in ENSO and its application Hong-Li Ren, Ben Tian, Fei-Fei Jin, and Adam Scaife |