Orals ASI13

ASI13

Energy Meteorology
Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning  | Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova , Lucien Wald , Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt 
Orals
 / Wed, 14 Sep, 09:00–13:00  / 15:00–17:00  / Room Saturnia
 / Thu, 15 Sep, 09:00–13:00  / 15:00–19:00  / Room Saturnia
Posters
 / Attendance Thu, 15 Sep, 14:00–15:00  / Gallery

Wednesday, 14 September 2016
Room Saturnia
Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt
09:00–09:15
EMS2016-423
Remote sensing for wind and solar resource assessment in port area in South Italy
Rosamaria Calaudi, Teresa Lo Feudo, Claudia Roberta Calidonna, and Anna Maria Sempreviva
09:15–09:30
EMS2016-180
A “smart” method for short-term solar radiation forecasting
Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, and David Pozo-Vazquez
09:30–09:45
EMS2016-139
Surface Downwelling Solar Radiation as estimated from MSG/SEVIRI and predicted by RAMS model forecast: verification and improvements from analysis
Stefano Federico, Monica Campanelli, Ping Wang, Paolo Sanò, Daniele Casella, Stefania Vergari, and Stefano Dietrich
09:45–10:00
EMS2016-324 | presentation | presentation
Warning Electricity Grid Operators about Large Photovoltaic Forecast Errors
Rafael Fritz, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, and Malte Siefert
10:00–10:15
EMS2016-517 | presentation | presentation
The Project PerduS: Forecasting the reduction in photovoltaic power production during Saharan dust outbreaks – first results
Andrea Steiner, Vanessa Wehner, and Jochen Förstner
10:15–10:30
EMS2016-146
Development of innovative weather and power forecast models for the grid integration of weather-dependent energy sources
Malte Siefert and Jan Dobschinski
Coffee break
11:00–11:30
EMS2016-362 | presentation | presentation
Fish-eye camera: a new meteorological instrument of high potential for meteorology and energy (solicited)
Philippe Blanc
11:30–11:45
EMS2016-170
Evaluation of various procedure transposing global tilted irradiance to horizontal surface irradiance
Caroline Housmans and Cédric Bertand
11:45–12:00
EMS2016-315 | presentation | presentation
Estimating the amount of cloud cover (in oktas) using photovoltaics
Stavros Stylianou, Rogiros Tapakis, and Alexandros G. Charalambides
12:00–12:15
EMS2016-386 | presentation | presentation
Classifying 1 minute temporal variability in global and direct normal irradiances within each hour from ground-based measurements
Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Sandra Jung, and Miriam Kosmale
12:15–12:30
EMS2016-469
On the land-sea contrast in the solar resource climatology over Europe
Anders Lindfors, Aku Riihelä, Thomas Carlund, Jörg Trentmann, and Richard Müller
12:30–12:45
EMS2016-167
Solar irradiation variability over Iberian Peninsula for electricity generation: RCM analysis regarding aerosols implications
Claudia Gutiérrez, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Clemente Gallardo, and Victoria Gil
12:45–13:00 EMS2016-294
Fog impact on the solar photovoltaic power production (withdrawn)
Saverio Teodosio Nilo, Angela Cersosimo, Domenico Cimini, Francesco Di Paola, Edoardo Geraldi, Elisabetta Ricciardelli, Filomena Romano, and Mariassunta Viggiano
Lunch break
15:00–15:15
EMS2016-182
WRF advection and diffusion of MSG cloud estimates for short-term solar radiation forecasting
Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Jose Antonio Ruiz-Arias, Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, and David Pozo-Vazquez
15:15–15:30
EMS2016-508
Tracking Cloud Motion with Deformation in Satellite Imagery: Lagrangian Techniques for PV Forecasts
Garrett H. Good, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Rafael Fritz, and Malte Siefert
15:30–15:45
EMS2016-503
Load Flow Calculation of a Low Voltage Transformer using CAMS radiation service
Holger Ruf, Konstantin Ditz, Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Hans Georg Beyer, Carmen Köhler, Florian Meier, and Gerd Heilscher
15:45–16:00
EMS2016-131 | presentation | presentation
Estimation and forecast of PV generation on a regional scale using satellite data and high resolution WRF output combined with machine learning techniques
Alessandro Perotto, Marco Pierro, Cristina Cornaro, Enrico Maggioni, Francesco Spada, and David Moser
16:00–16:15
EMS2016-302 | presentation | presentation
Use of post processing techniques and satellite irradiance data to forecast short wave solar radiation
Enrico Maggioni, Alessandro Perotto, Francesco Spada, Cristina Cornaro, and Marco Pierro
16:15–16:30
EMS2016-540 | presentation | presentation
Satellite-based solar irradiance assessment and forecasting in tropical insular areas
Sylvain Cros, Maxime Deroubaix, Mathieu Turpin, and Patrick Jeanty
16:30–16:45
EMS2016-372
Hilbert-Huang spectral analysis for the characterization of variability in satellite-derived time series of surface solar irradiance
Marc Bengulescu, Philippe Blanc, and Lucien Wald
16:45–17:00
EMS2016-667 | presentation | presentation
Short-range NWP for direct normal irradiance by utilizing Meteosat Second Generation data
Heiner Körnich, Magnus Lindskog, and Tomas Landelius

Thursday, 15 September 2016
Room Saturnia
Chairperson: Ekaterina Batchvarova
09:00–09:15
EMS2016-479 | presentation | presentation
Weather and Power Information Tailored to the Needs of Renewable Energy Industry in a web-based GUI
Alexandros Bouras, Tobias Reinartz, Harald Kempf, and Arne Wessel
09:15–09:30
EMS2016-614
Using high resolution reanalyses for renewable energy applications
Christopher Frank, Susanne Crewell, Jan Keller, Christian Ohlwein, Andreas Hense, and Sabrina Wahl
09:30–09:45
EMS2016-90
The Smoothing Effect in an Afro-Eurasian Renewable Power Grid
Maria Krutova, Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, and Lüder von Bremen
09:45–10:00
EMS2016-366 | presentation | presentation
Estimating the performance of wind-PV hybrid mini-grid systems for rural electrification in Africa
Thomas Huld, Irene Pinedo Pascua, Mario Marcello Miglietta, and Fabio Monforti-Ferrario
10:00–10:15
EMS2016-654
How Much Can Demand Side Management Contribute to Balance a Fully Renewable European Power System?
Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, and Lueder von Bremen
10:15–10:30
EMS2016-189 | presentation | presentation
Synthetic weather files for dynamic simulations of future building energy demand in Finland
Kirsti Jylhä, Kimmo Ruosteenoja, Juha Jokisalo, Targo Kalamees, Hanna Mäkelä, and Reijo Hyvönen
Coffee break
11:00–11:15
EMS2016-35 | presentation | presentation
Very short term wind power forecasting using shore-based scanning lidar observations over the Danish North Sea
Elliot Simon, Michael Courtney, and Guillaume Léa
11:15–11:30
EMS2016-171 | presentation | presentation
The Wind Power Application Research Based on The Fusion of Deterministic and Ensemble Prediction
Lan Shi and LiNa Xu
11:30–11:45
EMS2016-377
Particle filtering and smoothing within an ultra large mesoscale ensemble for estimating wind energy
Jonas Berndt, Charlotte Hoppe, and Hendrik Elbern
11:45–12:00
EMS2016-442
Investigating short-term power fluctuations of large offshore wind farms
Daniel Drew, Janet Barlow, Phil Coker, David Brayshaw, and Omduth Coceal
12:00–12:15
EMS2016-542 | presentation | presentation
Probabilistic forecasting of wind power production losses in cold climates
Jennie P. Söderman, Henier Körnich, Esbjörn Olsson, Hans Bergström, and Anna Sjöblom
12:15–12:30
EMS2016-649 | presentation | presentation
Improved intraday power forecasts of unmeasured wind plants with weather predictions and nearby online power measurements
Stephan Vogt, Axel Braun, Scott Otterson, Malte Siefert, and Jan Dobschinski
12:30–13:00
1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)

Lunch break
15:00–15:15 EMS2016-56
Changes in Weather in Future Decades (withdrawn)
Alan Gadian, Ralph Burton, James Groves, Alan Blyth, James Warner, Greg Holland, Cindy Bruyere, James Done, and Jutta Thielen
15:15–15:30
EMS2016-293
An offshore climatology of anomalous wind events
Peter Kalverla, Reinder Ronda, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, and Bert Holtslag
15:30–15:45
EMS2016-455
Predictability assessment of climate predictions within the context of the New European Wind Atlas project (NEWA)
Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Sergio Lozano, and Nicola Cortesi
15:45–16:00
EMS2016-257
EMHIRES: European Meteorological derived HIgh resolution RES generation time series for present and future scenarios
Iratxe Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Fabio Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, and Jake Badger
16:00–16:15
EMS2016-563 | presentation | presentation
Investigating continental-scale synchronicity of wind power national productions in the EU with different meteorological datasets.
Fabio Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, Iratxe Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Marta Poncela Blanco, and Gianluca Fulli
16:15–16:30
EMS2016-28 | presentation | presentation
Roughness length for coastal waters from wave boundary layer model
Jianting Du, Xiaoli Larsén, and Rodolfo Bolaños
16:30–16:45
EMS2016-221
Weather Dependent Upscaling Algorithms for European Wind Power
Bruno U. Schyska, António Couto, Lueder von Bremen, and Ana Estanqueiro
16:45–17:00
EMS2016-570
Characterizing atmospheric stability and roughness lengths for wind resource assessment in complex terrain
Ben Crawford, Adrian Matangi, James Griffiths, Andreas Christen, and Andy Black
17:30–17:45
EMS2016-483
Estimating wind speeds at wind turbines with ARMAX models using Lidar measurements
Ashim Giyanani, Wim Bieerbooms, and Gerard van Bussel
17:45–18:00
EMS2016-398 | presentation | presentation
A hybrid model for the wind profile (direction and speed) for the whole boundary layer
Sven-Erik Gryning and Ekaterina Batchvarova
18:00–18:15
EMS2016-506 | presentation | presentation
Wind farm efficiency assessed by WRF with a statistical-dynamical approach
Patrick J. H. Volker, Jake Badger, and Andrea N. Hahmann
18:15–18:30 EMS2016-651
Determination of wind velocity components and its characteristics in the wake of a full scale wind turbine using short-range ground-based synchronized WindScanners (withdrawn)
Hasan Yazicioglu, Nikolas Angelou, and Torben Mikkelsen
18:30–18:45
EMS2016-522
Investigation of the flow in complex terrain with regard to wind-energy research using the small remotely piloted aircraft MASC
Alexander Rautenberg, Jan Anger, Christoph Schulz, and Jens Bange
18:45–19:00
EMS2016-657
Noise levels and environmental impact assesments: effect of different Weibull-fit parameters.
Gertie Geertsema