Orals ASI13
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ASI13 Energy Meteorology |
| Convener: Sven-Erik Gryning | Co-Conveners: Ekaterina Batchvarova , Lucien Wald , Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt |
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Wednesday, 14 September 2016 Room Saturnia Chairperson: Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt |
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| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2016-423
Remote sensing for wind and solar resource assessment in port area in South Italy Rosamaria Calaudi, Teresa Lo Feudo, Claudia Roberta Calidonna, and Anna Maria Sempreviva |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2016-180
A “smart” method for short-term solar radiation forecasting Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, and David Pozo-Vazquez |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2016-139
Surface Downwelling Solar Radiation as estimated from MSG/SEVIRI and predicted by RAMS model forecast: verification and improvements from analysis Stefano Federico, Monica Campanelli, Ping Wang, Paolo Sanò, Daniele Casella, Stefania Vergari, and Stefano Dietrich |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2016-324
| presentation
Warning Electricity Grid Operators about Large Photovoltaic Forecast Errors Rafael Fritz, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, and Malte Siefert |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2016-517
| presentation
The Project PerduS: Forecasting the reduction in photovoltaic power production during Saharan dust outbreaks – first results Andrea Steiner, Vanessa Wehner, and Jochen Förstner |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2016-146
Development of innovative weather and power forecast models for the grid integration of weather-dependent energy sources Malte Siefert and Jan Dobschinski |
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Coffee break
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| 11:00–11:30 |
EMS2016-362
| presentation
Fish-eye camera: a new meteorological instrument of high potential for meteorology and energy (solicited) Philippe Blanc |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2016-170
Evaluation of various procedure transposing global tilted irradiance to horizontal surface irradiance Caroline Housmans and Cédric Bertand |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2016-315
| presentation
Estimating the amount of cloud cover (in oktas) using photovoltaics Stavros Stylianou, Rogiros Tapakis, and Alexandros G. Charalambides |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2016-386
| presentation
Classifying 1 minute temporal variability in global and direct normal irradiances within each hour from ground-based measurements Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Sandra Jung, and Miriam Kosmale |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2016-469
On the land-sea contrast in the solar resource climatology over Europe Anders Lindfors, Aku Riihelä, Thomas Carlund, Jörg Trentmann, and Richard Müller |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2016-167
Solar irradiation variability over Iberian Peninsula for electricity generation: RCM analysis regarding aerosols implications Claudia Gutiérrez, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Clemente Gallardo, and Victoria Gil |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2016-294
Fog impact on the solar photovoltaic power production (withdrawn) Saverio Teodosio Nilo, Angela Cersosimo, Domenico Cimini, Francesco Di Paola, Edoardo Geraldi, Elisabetta Ricciardelli, Filomena Romano, and Mariassunta Viggiano |
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Lunch break
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| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2016-182
WRF advection and diffusion of MSG cloud estimates for short-term solar radiation forecasting Clara Arbizu-Barrena, Jose Antonio Ruiz-Arias, Samuel Quesada-Ruiz, Javier Rodriguez-Benitez, Joaquin Tovar-Pescador, and David Pozo-Vazquez |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2016-508
Tracking Cloud Motion with Deformation in Satellite Imagery: Lagrangian Techniques for PV Forecasts Garrett H. Good, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Rafael Fritz, and Malte Siefert |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2016-503
Load Flow Calculation of a Low Voltage Transformer using CAMS radiation service Holger Ruf, Konstantin Ditz, Marion Schroedter-Homscheidt, Hans Georg Beyer, Carmen Köhler, Florian Meier, and Gerd Heilscher |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2016-131
| presentation
Estimation and forecast of PV generation on a regional scale using satellite data and high resolution WRF output combined with machine learning techniques Alessandro Perotto, Marco Pierro, Cristina Cornaro, Enrico Maggioni, Francesco Spada, and David Moser |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EMS2016-302
| presentation
Use of post processing techniques and satellite irradiance data to forecast short wave solar radiation Enrico Maggioni, Alessandro Perotto, Francesco Spada, Cristina Cornaro, and Marco Pierro |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EMS2016-540
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Satellite-based solar irradiance assessment and forecasting in tropical insular areas Sylvain Cros, Maxime Deroubaix, Mathieu Turpin, and Patrick Jeanty |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2016-372
Hilbert-Huang spectral analysis for the characterization of variability in satellite-derived time series of surface solar irradiance Marc Bengulescu, Philippe Blanc, and Lucien Wald |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2016-667
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Short-range NWP for direct normal irradiance by utilizing Meteosat Second Generation data Heiner Körnich, Magnus Lindskog, and Tomas Landelius |
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Thursday, 15 September 2016 Room Saturnia Chairperson: Ekaterina Batchvarova |
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| 09:00–09:15 |
EMS2016-479
| presentation
Weather and Power Information Tailored to the Needs of Renewable Energy Industry in a web-based GUI Alexandros Bouras, Tobias Reinartz, Harald Kempf, and Arne Wessel |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EMS2016-614
Using high resolution reanalyses for renewable energy applications Christopher Frank, Susanne Crewell, Jan Keller, Christian Ohlwein, Andreas Hense, and Sabrina Wahl |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EMS2016-90
The Smoothing Effect in an Afro-Eurasian Renewable Power Grid Maria Krutova, Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, and Lüder von Bremen |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2016-366
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Estimating the performance of wind-PV hybrid mini-grid systems for rural electrification in Africa Thomas Huld, Irene Pinedo Pascua, Mario Marcello Miglietta, and Fabio Monforti-Ferrario |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2016-654
How Much Can Demand Side Management Contribute to Balance a Fully Renewable European Power System? Alexander Kies, Bruno Schyska, and Lueder von Bremen |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2016-189
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Synthetic weather files for dynamic simulations of future building energy demand in Finland Kirsti Jylhä, Kimmo Ruosteenoja, Juha Jokisalo, Targo Kalamees, Hanna Mäkelä, and Reijo Hyvönen |
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Coffee break
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| 11:00–11:15 |
EMS2016-35
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Very short term wind power forecasting using shore-based scanning lidar observations over the Danish North Sea Elliot Simon, Michael Courtney, and Guillaume Léa |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EMS2016-171
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The Wind Power Application Research Based on The Fusion of Deterministic and Ensemble Prediction Lan Shi and LiNa Xu |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2016-377
Particle filtering and smoothing within an ultra large mesoscale ensemble for estimating wind energy Jonas Berndt, Charlotte Hoppe, and Hendrik Elbern |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2016-442
Investigating short-term power fluctuations of large offshore wind farms Daniel Drew, Janet Barlow, Phil Coker, David Brayshaw, and Omduth Coceal |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2016-542
| presentation
Probabilistic forecasting of wind power production losses in cold climates Jennie P. Söderman, Henier Körnich, Esbjörn Olsson, Hans Bergström, and Anna Sjöblom |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2016-649
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Improved intraday power forecasts of unmeasured wind plants with weather predictions and nearby online power measurements Stephan Vogt, Axel Braun, Scott Otterson, Malte Siefert, and Jan Dobschinski |
| 12:30–13:00 |
1-minute espressi talks (poster introductions)
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Lunch break
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| 15:00–15:15 |
EMS2016-56
Changes in Weather in Future Decades (withdrawn) Alan Gadian, Ralph Burton, James Groves, Alan Blyth, James Warner, Greg Holland, Cindy Bruyere, James Done, and Jutta Thielen |
| 15:15–15:30 |
EMS2016-293
An offshore climatology of anomalous wind events Peter Kalverla, Reinder Ronda, Gert-Jan Steeneveld, and Bert Holtslag |
| 15:30–15:45 |
EMS2016-455
Predictability assessment of climate predictions within the context of the New European Wind Atlas project (NEWA) Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Sergio Lozano, and Nicola Cortesi |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EMS2016-257
EMHIRES: European Meteorological derived HIgh resolution RES generation time series for present and future scenarios Iratxe Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Fabio Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, and Jake Badger |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EMS2016-563
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Investigating continental-scale synchronicity of wind power national productions in the EU with different meteorological datasets. Fabio Monforti-Ferrario, Thomas Huld, Iratxe Gonzalez-Aparicio, Andreas Zucker, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Marta Poncela Blanco, and Gianluca Fulli |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EMS2016-28
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Roughness length for coastal waters from wave boundary layer model Jianting Du, Xiaoli Larsén, and Rodolfo Bolaños |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EMS2016-221
Weather Dependent Upscaling Algorithms for European Wind Power Bruno U. Schyska, António Couto, Lueder von Bremen, and Ana Estanqueiro |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EMS2016-570
Characterizing atmospheric stability and roughness lengths for wind resource assessment in complex terrain Ben Crawford, Adrian Matangi, James Griffiths, Andreas Christen, and Andy Black |
| 17:30–17:45 |
EMS2016-483
Estimating wind speeds at wind turbines with ARMAX models using Lidar measurements Ashim Giyanani, Wim Bieerbooms, and Gerard van Bussel |
| 17:45–18:00 |
EMS2016-398
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A hybrid model for the wind profile (direction and speed) for the whole boundary layer Sven-Erik Gryning and Ekaterina Batchvarova |
| 18:00–18:15 |
EMS2016-506
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Wind farm efficiency assessed by WRF with a statistical-dynamical approach Patrick J. H. Volker, Jake Badger, and Andrea N. Hahmann |
| 18:15–18:30 |
EMS2016-651
Determination of wind velocity components and its characteristics in the wake of a full scale wind turbine using short-range ground-based synchronized WindScanners (withdrawn) Hasan Yazicioglu, Nikolas Angelou, and Torben Mikkelsen |
| 18:30–18:45 |
EMS2016-522
Investigation of the flow in complex terrain with regard to wind-energy research using the small remotely piloted aircraft MASC Alexander Rautenberg, Jan Anger, Christoph Schulz, and Jens Bange |
| 18:45–19:00 |
EMS2016-657
Noise levels and environmental impact assesments: effect of different Weibull-fit parameters. Gertie Geertsema |