Oral Programme AvH9
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AvH9 High Impact Natural Hazards Related to the Euro-Mediterranean Region |
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Oral Programme
/ Mon, 24 Mar, 09:00–17:30
/ Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall
/ Tue, 25 Mar, 09:10–17:00 / Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall / Thu, 27 Mar, 09:10–17:40 / Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall / Fri, 28 Mar, 09:10–17:00 / Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Tue, 25 Mar, 14:45–15:45
/ Lobby of the Conference Hall
/ Attendance Thu, 27 Mar, 15:00–15:40 / Lobby of the Conference Hall |
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Monday, 24 March 2014 Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall |
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| 09:00–09:50 |
Registration
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| 09:50–10:20 |
Welcome Talk
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Session 1: Physics of Earthquakes
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| 10:20–11:00 |
AvH9-53
Understanding the earthquake generation process: key results and present grand challenges (keynote lecture) Massimo Cocco |
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Coffee Break
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| 11:30–11:50 |
AvH9-21
Precursory and coseismic lithospheric responses to megathrusts Tae-Kyung Hong and Junhyung Lee |
| 11:50–12:10 |
AvH9-18
Earthquakes along a Subduction Zone and Their Relation to the Interseismic Coupling Ali Ozgun Konca |
| 12:10–12:30 |
AvH9-38
Contribution of subaqueous paleoseismology to paleoseismic datasets: Examples from the Euro-Mediterranean Region Ulaş Avşar |
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Lunch Break
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Session 2: Studies of Seismicity and Probabilistic Approaches to Earthquakes
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| 13:40–14:25 |
AvH9-23
Recent developments in strong-motion databases and ground motion prediction equations in Europe (keynote lecture) Sinan Akkar |
| 14:25–14:45 |
AvH9-7
An Investigation of Seismicity in the Marmara Region with Probabilistic Approaches Nilgün SAYIL |
| 14:45–15:30 |
AvH9-17
The Long Precursory Phase of Most Large Interplate Earthquakes (keynote lecture) Michel Bouchon, Virginie Durand, David Marsan, Hayrullah Karabulut, and Jean Schmittbuhl |
| 15:30–16:00 |
Session 1-2 Discussion
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| 16:00–17:30 |
Ice-breaker party
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Tuesday, 25 March 2014 Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall |
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Session 3: The Studies of Hazards in Marmara and Surrounding Regions
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| 09:10–09:50 |
AvH9-13
Morphotectonic development of the Marmara Region (keynote lecture) Yucel Yýlmaz |
| 09:50–10:10 |
AvH9-42
PS-InSAR velocity field along the eastern section of the North Anatolian Fault: implications for loading and release of interseismic strain along strike-slip faults Ziyadin Çakir, Semih Ergintav, and Orhan Tatar |
| 10:10–10:30 |
AvH9-9
Earthquake Hazard and Risk Assessment of Kutahya Settlement Area Founded on the Kutahya Fault Zone (KFZ) Enes Zengin, Zeynal Abiddin Erguler, Muzaffer Ozburan, and Huseyin Karakus |
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Coffee Break
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| 11:10–11:30 |
AvH9-37
Examining the post-seismic processes in a hazard perspective Ali Deger Ozbakir, Mehmet Sinan Ozeren, Semih Ergintav, and Hayrullah Karabulut |
| 11:30–11:50 |
AvH9-35
A newly discovered seismic hazard zone in the Cilician Taurus, Southern Turkey: Implications for the planned nuclear power plant Mehmet Sinan Özeren, Lada Dimitrova, and Alan John Haines |
| 11:50–12:10 |
AvH9-30
SPATIAL VARIATIONS of EARTHQUAKE CLUSTERS in EASTERN MARMARA Birsen CAN, Mustafa AKTAR, Fatih BULUT, Marco BOHNHOFF, and Georg DRESEN |
| 12:10–12:30 |
AvH9-25
Estimation of post-seismic deformations 23 October 2011 Van earthquake (Mw=7.2), Turkey under geodetic constrains Deniz Oz Demir, Ugur Dogan, Ziyadin Cakir, Semih Ergintav, Haluk Ozener, Ahmet M. Akoğlu, Süleyman Nalbant, and Robert Reilinger |
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Lunch Break
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Session 4: The Studies of Hazards in Marmara and Surrounding Regions
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| 13:30–14:00 |
AvH9-52
Creeping and locked segments along the Main Marmara Fault Jean Schmittbuhl, Hayrullah Karabulut, Olivier Lengliné, Michel Bouchon, and the CINNET TEAM |
| 14:00–14:20 |
AvH9-49
Examples of recent active faulting on the Turkish-Iranian Plateau: October 2011 Van (Turkey) and August 2012 Ahar-Varzaghan (Iran) earthquakes Ahmet M. Akoglu, Sigurjón Jónsson, Ziyadin Çakır, and Teng Wang |
| 14:20–14:45 |
Session 1-4: Oral Poster Summaries
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Coffee Break & Posters
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| 15:45–16:15 |
Pop-up presentations
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| 16:15–17:00 |
Sessions 3-4: Discussion
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Thursday, 27 March 2014 Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall |
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Session 5: Physics of Tsunamis and related Hazard
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| 09:10–09:50 |
AvH9-24
Physics and characterisation of tsunami hazards (keynote lecture) Efim Pelinovsky |
| 09:50–10:10 |
AvH9-54
Parameters Affecting Accuracy of Tsunami Inundation Assessment; a case study for Antalya Coast Turkey Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner, Aykut Pamuk, and Andrey Zaytsev |
| 10:10–10:30 |
AvH9-40
A new mathematical method to relate mareograph records to quantify the wave runup Mehmet Sinan Özeren, Nazmi Postacioglu, and Umut Canli |
| 10:30–10:50 |
AvH9-15
Characterization of Earthquake Source Parameters for Deterministic Tsunami Hazard Modeling in the Eastern Mediterranean and its Connected Seas Ocal Necmioglu and Nurcan Meral Ozel |
| 10:50–11:10 |
Sessions 5-10: Oral Poster Presentations
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Coffee Break & Posters
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Session 6: Multihazard Monitoring and Vulnerability
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| 11:40–12:30 |
AvH9-51
Examples of Earth Observation applications to Natural Hazards in the Euro-Mediterranean Region (keynote lecture) Francesco Sarti |
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Lunch Break
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Session 7: Volcanological Hazards
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| 13:30–14:10 |
AvH9-11
Risk assessment and mitigation: the link between science and decision making (keynote lecture) Warner Marzocchi |
| 14:10–14:30 |
AvH9-22
Monitoring volcanic eruption phase using Vp/Vs ratios Tae-Kyung Hong, Soung Eil Houng, and Eunyoung Jo |
| 14:30–14:50 |
AvH9-32
Estimating the eruptive potential of Ischia volcanic island (Southern Italy) Stefano Carlino |
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Coffee Break & Posters
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| 15:40–16:10 |
AvH9-29
Eruptions from calderas: the most devastating, the least understood Paolo Papale |
| 16:10–16:30 |
AvH9-34
Kos-Nisyros-Yali Volcanic System: Need for a New Risk Analyses in the Area? Gonca Gençalioğlu Kuşcu and Göksu Uslular |
| 16:30–16:50 |
AvH9-47
Visualizing a Prehistoric Catastrophe: The Thera Eruption Emre Kurucayirli |
| 16:50–17:10 |
Pop-up presentations
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| 17:10–17:40 |
Sessions 5-7: Discussions
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Friday, 28 March 2014 Room Fatin Gokmen Conference Hall |
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Session 8: Risk Assesment and Loss Modeling
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| 09:10–09:50 |
AvH9-12
Magnitude 9 Earthquake Risk in the Eastern Mediterranean and the 365AD Catastrophe (keynote lecture) Robert Muir-Wood |
| 09:50–10:10 |
AvH9-4
Landslide Monitoring and Early Warning Systems Based on Failure Index “Fragility” Curve (FIFC) through Numerical Analysis Uğur Öztürk, Yalelet Alemnew Tarakegn, Laura Longoni, Davide Brambilla, Monica Papini, and Jürgen Jensen |
| 10:10–10:30 |
AvH9-6
The use of open data in the micro-scale urban flood risk assessment and mapping: two case studies in historic cities in Italy Chiara Arrighi, Fabio Castelli, Marcello Brugioni, Serena Franceschini, and Bernardo Mazzanti |
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Coffee Break
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Session 9: Wildfires
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| 11:00–11:20 |
AvH9-44
Wildfire Statistics: Implications for Ecology, Risk and Government Agency Reporting Bruce D. Malamud |
| 11:20–11:40 |
AvH9-39
Estimation of biomass burning emissions over Turkey using SEVIRI fire characterization data: the Antalya fire, August 2008 Giuseppe Baldassarre, Luca Pozzoli, Johannes W. Kaiser, Chris C. Schimdt, Alper Unal, and Tayfun Kindap |
| 11:40–12:00 |
AvH9-20
Understanding inter-annual variability of burned area in Portugal using statistical models based on meteorological indices of fire danger Sílvia Nunes, DaCamara Carlos, Kamil Turkman, Sofia Ermida, and Teresa Calado |
| 12:00–12:20 |
AvH9-19
Calibration of the Fire Weather Index over Mediterranean Europe based on fire activity retrieved from MSG satellite Sofia Ermida, Carlos DaCamara, Teresa Calado, Isabel Trigo, Malik Amraoui, and Kamil Turkman |
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Lunch Break
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Session 10: Mass Wasting, Strong Winds and Vulnerability
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| 13:30–13:50 |
AvH9-10
Coping with Seismic and Hydrological Hazards in Rural Indonesia Nurhadi Nurhadi and Martin Coy |
| 13:50–14:20 |
AvH9-50
Triggered landslide events: statistics, historical proxies, and road network interactions Bruce D. Malamud |
| 14:20–14:40 |
AvH9-33
Severe Non-tornadic Winds in Turkey Mikdat Kadioglu, Erhan Coşkun, Seyda Tilev Tanriover, and Abdullah Kahraman |
| 14:40–15:00 |
AvH9-8
Quantification of economic and individual debris flows risk at the Black Sea coast of the Northern Caucasus Vyacheslav Baburin, Sofia Gavrilova, Yurii Seliverstov, Sergey Sokratov, and Aleksandr Shnyparkov |
| 15:00–15:20 |
Oral Poster Presentations
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Coffee Break & Posters
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| 15:50–16:20 |
Pop-up presentations
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| 16:20–16:50 |
Sessions 8-10: Discussions
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| 16:50–17:00 |
Closing Remarks
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