Potential Impacts Of Aerosols and greenhouse gases On projected Extreme Precipitation Characteristics over East Asia in CMIP6 Model Simulation
- 1University of Tsukuba, Hydroshere research, Environmental engineering, Japan (pauladigun7@gmail.com)
- 2University of Tsukuba, Faculty of Engineering, Information, and Systems
Precipitation extremes are anticipated to intensify across East Asia as a result of global warming, according to past evaluations of coupled climate models.
Climate model results from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) were used to assess expected changes in precipitation extremes
over EAST ASIA by the end of the twenty-first century. Changes in precipitation extremes are expected as a result of a reduction in aerosols and greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions (as reflected by the most recent Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). When aerosol levels are lowered, the distribution of precipitation means and extremes changes to larger values. Reduced aerosol levels, for example, would raise the probability of heavy precipitation. The Significant variations in the frequency of days with extremely high rainfall (R20mm), the simple intensity of daily precipitation(SDII), Total Precipitation on Wet Day (PRCPTOT), Very wet days precipitation (R95pTOT) were accessed, to determine the magnitude to which aerosols and GHG are driving these changes. we evaluate the representation of extremes in future precipitation projection under different scenarios. Understanding the response to different global warming thresholds is essential for eliminating the uncertainties in East Asia climate projections
How to cite: Adigun, P. and Koji, D.: Potential Impacts Of Aerosols and greenhouse gases On projected Extreme Precipitation Characteristics over East Asia in CMIP6 Model Simulation, DACH2022, Leipzig, Deutschland, 21–25 Mar 2022, DACH2022-98, https://doi.org/10.5194/dach2022-98, 2022.