Orals

Session 5
Forecasting and nowcasting of storms
Session chairs: Pieter Groenemeijer, Johannes Dahl
Orals
| Wed, 06 Nov, 11:30–13:00|Lecture room, Thu, 07 Nov, 09:00–13:00|Lecture room
Posters
| Attendance Thu, 07 Nov, 14:30–16:00 | Display Thu, 07 Nov, 08:30–18:30|Poster area

Wednesday, 6 November 2019 | Lecture room

11:30–11:45 |
ECSS2019-76
| presentation
Combining ensembles of NWP and observation-based nowcasting at DWD to improve convective precipitation forecasts
Martin Rempel
11:45–12:00 |
ECSS2019-43
Using Near-Ground Storm Relative Helicity in Tornado Forecasting
Brice Coffer, Matthew Parker, Richard Thompson, and Bryan Smith
12:00–12:15 |
ECSS2019-161
Combination of object-based probabilistic Nowcasting and NWP-Ensemble
Rafael Posada Navia-Osorio, Robert Feger, Markus Schultze, Kathrin Wapler, and Manuel Werner
12:15–12:30 |
ECSS2019-184
| presentation
Using machine learning to advance next-day probabilistic convective hazard prediction with convection-allowing models: Initial results and future plans
Ryan Sobash, Craig Schwartz, David Gagne, and Glen Romine
12:30–12:45 |
ECSS2019-165
| presentation
A novel multi-sensor nowcast algorithm of thunderstorm intensity using machine learning
Ulrich Hamann, Joel Zeder, Hélène Barras, Lorenzo Clementi, Loris Foresti, Alessandro M. Hering, Shruti Nath, Daniele Nerini, Luca Nisi, Marco Sassi, and Urs Germann
12:45–13:00 |
ECSS2019-54
| presentation
Improving hail nowcasting by combining crowd-sourced hail reports with machine learning
Hélène Barras, Ulrich Hamann, Loris Foresti, Alessandro Hering, Daniele Nerini, Joel Zeder, Urs Germann, and Olivia Martius

Thursday, 7 November 2019 | Lecture room

09:00–09:15 |
ECSS2019-170
| presentation
What is the intrinsic predictability of supercell storms?
Paul Markowski
09:15–09:30 |
ECSS2019-167
| presentation
The 2019 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Burkely Gallo, Adam Clark, Israel Jirak, Kent Knopfmeier, and Brett Roberts and the Spring Forecasting Experiment Team
09:30–09:45 |
ECSS2019-114
Severe weather patterns of a tornadic event associated to a squall line in the western Mediterranean region
Nicolau Pineda, Patricia Altube, Tomeu Rigo, Carme Farnell, Joan Montanyà, Oscar van der Velde, Albert Salvador, Joan Bech, and Oriol Rodriguez
09:45–10:00 |
ECSS2019-15
| presentation
Forecasting lightning with ECMWF's IFS
Ivan Tsonevsky and Philippe Lopez
10:00–10:15 |
ECSS2019-2
Predicting tornado count distributions by damage rating
James Elsner and Zoe Schroder
10:15–10:30 |
ECSS2019-119
Classification, environments and impact of the most severe thunderstorms over Poland in last decade
Szymon Poręba and Mateusz Barczyk
10:30–10:45 |
ECSS2019-215
A prototype real-time sting jet precursor tool for forecasters
Oscar Martinez-Alvarado, Suzanne L. Gray, Dan Suri, and Duncan Ackerly
Coffee break
11:30–11:45 |
ECSS2019-118
| presentation
TAF verification - improvements of the thunderstorm forecasts at Croatian airports
Jadran Jurković, Vinko Šoljan, Zoran Pasarić, and Igor Kos
11:45–12:00 |
ECSS2019-176
| presentation
SEEMET - South-Eastern Europe Training Initiative
Nataša Strelec Mahović, Petra Mikuš Jurković, Marko Blašković, and Tanja Renko
12:00–12:15 |
ECSS2019-115
| presentation
Verification of heavy rain warning in Catalonia
Sergio Gallego, Manuel Alvarez, Esther Batalla, Clara Brucet, Carme Farnell, Abel Flores, Santi Segala, and Montse Aran
12:15–12:30 |
ECSS2019-122
Upper air forcing of convection: the case of Gdańsk flood on 9 July 2001
Michał Ziemiański
12:30–12:45 |
ECSS2019-192
| presentation
Study of strong tornados in Germany: Various aspects of Forecasting and Nowcasting
Marcus Beyer and Kathrin Wapler
12:45–13:00 |
ECSS2019-41
| presentation
From Short Fuse Warnings to Long Range Forecasts: The Role of the Meteorologist in Global Weather Industry
Tyler Roys