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Oral Programme SM5.2/NH4.7

SM5.2/NH4.7

Time-dependent earthquake occurrence and seismic hazard: physics and statistics (co-organized)
Convener: Gert Zöller  | Co-Conveners: Massimo Cocco , Mark Naylor 
Oral Programme
 / Fri, 08 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room 26
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Fri, 08 Apr, 15:30–17:00  / Display Fri, 08 Apr, 08:00–17:00  / Halls X/Y

Friday, 8 April 2011
Room 26
Chairperson: Gert Zöller
08:30–09:00
EGU2011-4954
Probing the state of stress using early aftershocks (solicited)
Clément Narteau, Peter Shebalin, and Matthias Holschneider
09:00–09:15
EGU2011-948
The systematic study of the stability of forecasts in the rate- and state-dependent model
Denise De Gaetano, John McCloskey, and Suleyman Nalbant
09:15–09:30 EGU2011-5005
Empirical testing of earthquake recurrence models at source and site (withdrawn)
Marco Mucciarelli and Dario Albarello
09:30–09:45
EGU2011-4917
Clustering of seismic events in equivalent dimension hyperspaces - premonitory effects of M8.8 Chile earthquake of February 27, 2010
Stanislaw Lasocki
09:45–10:00
EGU2011-12502 | presentation
Statistical tests for the retrospective detection of space-time clusters of seismic events
Renata Rotondi and Elisa Varini
COFFEE BREAK
10:30–11:00
EGU2011-9019
Seismic and aseismic slip on the central Peru megathrust (solicited)
Hugo Perfettini, Jean-Philippe Avouac, Hernando Tavera, Mohamed Chlieh, Jean-Mathieu Nocquet, Dominique Remy, Kositsky Andrew, and Anthony Sladen
11:00–11:15
EGU2011-10366
Observation of repeating earthquakes during the nucleation of the 1999 Mw 7.6 Izmit earthquake
Michel Bouchon, Hayrullah Karabulut, Mustafa Aktar, Serdar Özalaybey, Jean Schmittbuhl, and Marie-Paule Bouin
11:15–11:30
EGU2011-8463
Seismic interactions in Greece following the M=6.4, 2008, Achaia earthquake
Virginie Durand, Michel Bouchon, David Marsan, and Nikos Theodoulidis
11:30–11:45
EGU2011-3660
Estimation of the maximum magnitude in the framework of a doubly-truncated Gutenberg-Richter model: Limits of statistical inference from earthquake catalogs
Matthias Holschneider, Gert Zöller, and Sebastian Hainzl
11:45–12:00
EGU2011-4653
Earthquake source statistics inferred from earthquake source physics - Toward developing an extended earthquake rupture forecast model
Seok Goo Song