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Poster Programme CL3.1/NP5.5

CL3.1/NP5.5

Decadal, seasonal and monthly forecasts (co-organized)
Convener: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes  | Co-Conveners: Geert Jan van Oldenborgh , Mark A. Liniger , Stéphane Vannitsem 
Oral Programme
 / Mon, 04 Apr, 08:30–10:00  / Room 17
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Mon, 04 Apr, 13:30–15:00  / Display Mon, 04 Apr, 08:00–19:30  / Hall XL
<table class="mo_scheduling_string" style="border-collapse: collapse; clear:left;"><tr><td style="vertical-align: top;"><span class="apl_addon_standard_action_link" style="text-decoration: none;">Poster Summaries & Discussions</span>:&nbsp;<a href="https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2011/session/8367" target="_blank" title="Open PSD22 Details" style="clear:left;">PSD22</a> &nbsp;/ <span class="mo_scheduling_string_time">Mon, 04 Apr, 12:15</span><span class="mo_scheduling_string_time">&ndash;13:00</span> &nbsp;/ <span class="mo_scheduling_string_place" title=""></span> &nbsp;</td></tr></table>

Display time: Monday, 4 April 2011 08:00–19:30
Attendance Time: Monday, 4 April 2011, 13:30–15:00
Hall XL
Chairperson: Virginie Guémas, Mark Liniger
XL81
EGU2011-4258
MJO empirical modeling and prediction by past "noise"
Dmitri Kondrashov, Mickael Chekroun, Michael Ghil, and Andrew Robertson

XL82
EGU2011-2724 | presentation
Analysis of extreme European summers and prior spring conditions
Christine Traeger-Chatterjee, Richard W. Mueller, Joerg Trentmann, and Joerg Bendix

XL83
EGU2011-2948 | presentation
Seasonal predictability of the Arctic sea-ice in a coupled GCM: a diagnostic approach
Matthieu Chevallier and David Salas y Melia

XL84
EGU2011-8863
Frequency of synoptic-scale winter storms over western North America: decadal variability arising from the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Tim Kruschke, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Dominik Renggli, and Uwe Ulbrich

XL85
EGU2011-3378
Sources of skill in forecasting North Atlantic winter storm activity in dynamical seasonal prediction models
Dominik Renggli, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Tim Kruschke, Uwe Ulbrich, and Eberhard Faust

XL86
EGU2011-9239
How useful was ENSO in predicting Northern Hemisphere climate anomalies over the past two winters?
Judah Cohen

XL87 EGU2011-4140
Evaluation of probabilistic quality and value of the ENSEMBLES multi-model seasonal forecasts: comparison with DEMETER (withdrawn)
Andrea Alessandri, Andrea Borrelli, Antonio Navarra, Alberto Arribas, Michel Déqué, Philippe Rogel, and Antje Weisheimer

XL88 EGU2011-5223
Seasonal forecast of Atlantic tropical cyclones during intense ENSO events (withdrawn)
Constantin Andronache

XL89
EGU2011-5433
Pacific Adaptation Strategy Assistance Program: Climate prediction capacities strengthened in the National Meteorological Services
Yuriy Kuleshov, Andrew Charles, Andrew Cottrill, David Jones, Harry Hendon, Eun-Pa Lim, and Roald de Wit

XL90
EGU2011-5901 | presentation
Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts in the FGOALS2_g coupled climate model
Mimi Liu, Bin Wang, and Yongqiang Yu

XL91
EGU2011-6091
Decadal climate predictions with the CMCC-CM coupled OAGCM initialized with ocean analyses.
Alessio Bellucci, Silvio Gualdi, Enrico Scoccimarro, Antonio Navarra, Simona Masina, and Andrea Storto

XL92
EGU2011-4758
Decadal Prediction in the Pacific using a High Resolution Climate Model
Takashi Mochizuki, Masahide Kimoto, Masayoshi Ishii, Hiroaki Tatebe, Yoshiki Komuro, and Takashi Sakamoto

XL93
EGU2011-2927
Influence of Initialization Method on the Quality of Decadal Climate Predictions
Violette Zunz, Hugues Goosse, Svetlana Dubinkina, and Yoann Sallaz-Damaz

XL94
EGU2011-3605 | presentation
The impact of drift correction and detrending on the skill of ENSEMBLES decadal predictions
Reidun Gangstø, Andreas Weigel, and Mark Liniger

XL95
EGU2011-14016
An estimate of the reliability of climate model trends
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Francisco Doblas-Reyes