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Poster Programme NP5.3

NP5.3

Nonlinear optimal modes and their applications in predictability, sensitivity and stability studies
Co-Convener: Wansuo Duan 
Oral Programme
 / Thu, 26 Apr, 15:30–17:15  / Room 17
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 26 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Hall X/Y

Attendance Time: Thursday, 26 April 2012, 17:30–19:00
Hall X/Y
Chairperson: Wansuo Duan, Mu Mu
XY656
EGU2012-6721
The "spring predictability barrier" for ENSO predictions and its possible mechanism: results from a fully coupled model (solicited)
W. Duan and C. Wei

XY657
EGU2012-131
On the feasibility and effectivity of genetic algorithm to VDA with discontinuous "on-of " switches (solicited)
Q. Zheng, J. X. Sha, and X. Q. Lu

XY658
EGU2012-203
Contribution of the location and spatial pattern of initial error to uncertainties in El Nino predictions
Y. Yu, M. Mu, W. Duan, and T. Gong

XY659
EGU2012-288
The extended application of the conditional nonlinear optimal parameter perturbation method in the Common Land Model (solicited)
B. Wang, Z. Huo, and L. Zheng

XY660
EGU2012-1106
Evaluating uncertainties in the simulated soil carbon in China using a nonlinear method (solicited)
G. Sun and M. Mu

XY661
EGU2012-1107
The nonlinearly combined response of the grassland ecosystem to human activity and climate change
G. Sun and M. Mu

XY662
EGU2012-1475
Predictability study of Kuroshio path variation:Effects of initial error and model parameter errors on the prediction
Q. Wang, M. Mu, and H. A. Dijkstra

XY663
EGU2012-1476
Application of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation method to finding the optimal precursors of Kuroshio large meander (solicited)
Q. Wang, M. Mu, and H. A. Dijkstra

XY664
EGU2012-1955
Role of nonlinearities associated with air-sea coupling processes in El Nino's phase-locking
R. Zhang, W.S. Duan, and Y.S. Yu

XY665
EGU2012-3283
Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations: behaviors during the evolution of cold vortices over Northeast China
Z.N. Jiang and D.H. Wang

XY666
EGU2012-3618
Study of aridification in the Inner Mongolia with the conditional nonlinear optimal parameter perturbation method
B. Wang, Z. Huo, and Y. Yuan

XY667
EGU2012-3805
Predictability of the Madden-Julian oscillation etimated using observational Data (solicited)
R. Q. Ding, J. P. Li, and K.-H. Seo

XY668
EGU2012-3820
The Sensitive Regions Identified by CNOPs of Three Typhoon Events
X. Qin

XY669
EGU2012-3828
Influence of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations sensitivity on typhoon track forecasts (solicited)
X. Qin and M Mu