Orals CL4.4/NH1.3/NP3.11
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CL4.4/NH1.3/NP3.11 Decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions (co-organized) |
| Convener: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes | Co-Conveners: Mark A. Liniger , Stéphane Vannitsem |
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Friday, 2 May 2014 Room Y6 Chairperson: Neven Fuckar |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2014-2744
Seasonal to Decadal Predictability of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and its Northern Winter Teleconnection Maria Athanassiadou, Adam Scaife, Martin Andrews, Alberto Arribas, Mark Baldwin, Nick Dunstone, Jeff Knight, Craig MacLachlan, Elisa Manzini, Wolfgang Muller, Holger Pohlmann, Doug Smith, Tim Stockdale, and Andrew Williams |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2014-3209
Prediction of the Arctic Oscillation in Boreal Winter by Current Operational Ensemble Seasonal Prediction Systems Myong-In Lee and Daehyun Kang |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2014-7515
Maximization of seasonal forecasts performance combining Grand Multi-Model Ensembles Andrea Alessandri, Matteo De Felice, Franco Catalano, Doo Young Lee, Jin Ho Yoo, June-Yi Lee, and Bin Wang |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2014-9048
Ensemble generation in the MPI-ESM seasonal prediction system Johanna Baehr, Kristina Fröhlich, Michael Botzet, and Wolfgang Müller |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2014-12379
High predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate from cryospheric variability Press & Media Javier Garcia-Serrano and Claude Frankignoul |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2014-4494
On the reliability of ECMWF's seasonal forecasts Press & Media Antje Weisheimer and Tim Palmer |
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Coffee Break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2014-1944
Decadal climate prediction for the period 1901-2010 with a coupled climate model Wolfgang A. Mueller, Holger Pohlmann, Frank Sienz, and Doug Smith |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2014-11963
Decadal predictability of frost days in the MPI-ESM-LR model Igor Kröner, Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2014-6914
Latest decadal climate prediction research at the Met Office Hadley Centre Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Adam Scaife, and Leon Hermanson |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2014-9783
Do climate indices offer more information on a seasonal to decadal time scale? Press & Media Irina Mahlstein, Christoph Spirig, Mark Liniger, and Christof Appenzeller |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2014-12360
Evaluating probabilistic decadal forecasts of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclone frequencies Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, Christopher Kadow, Gregor C. Leckebusch, and Uwe Ulbrich |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2014-14625
Deterministic and Probabilistic Metrics of Surface Air Temperature and Precipitation in the MiKlip Decadal Prediction System Christopher Kadow, Sebastian Illing, Oliver Kunst, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang Müller, and Ulrich Cubasch |