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Orals CL4.4/NH1.3/NP3.11

CL4.4/NH1.3/NP3.11

Decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions (co-organized)
Convener: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes 
Co-Conveners: Mark A. Liniger , Stéphane Vannitsem 
Session details
Orals
 / Fri, 02 May, 08:30–12:00  / Room Y6
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 02 May, 13:30–15:00  / Yellow Posters
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Friday, 02 May 2014
Room Y6
Chairperson: Neven Fuckar
08:30–08:45
EGU2014-2744
Seasonal to Decadal Predictability of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and its Northern Winter Teleconnection
Maria Athanassiadou, Adam Scaife, Martin Andrews, Alberto Arribas, Mark Baldwin, Nick Dunstone, Jeff Knight, Craig MacLachlan, Elisa Manzini, Wolfgang Muller, Holger Pohlmann, Doug Smith, Tim Stockdale, and Andrew Williams
08:45–09:00
EGU2014-3209
Prediction of the Arctic Oscillation in Boreal Winter by Current Operational Ensemble Seasonal Prediction Systems
Myong-In Lee and Daehyun Kang
09:00–09:15
EGU2014-7515
Maximization of seasonal forecasts performance combining Grand Multi-Model Ensembles
Andrea Alessandri, Matteo De Felice, Franco Catalano, Doo Young Lee, Jin Ho Yoo, June-Yi Lee, and Bin Wang
09:15–09:30
EGU2014-9048
Ensemble generation in the MPI-ESM seasonal prediction system
Johanna Baehr, Kristina Fröhlich, Michael Botzet, and Wolfgang Müller
09:30–09:45
EGU2014-12379
High predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate from cryospheric variability |
Javier Garcia-Serrano and Claude Frankignoul
09:45–10:00
EGU2014-4494
On the reliability of ECMWF's seasonal forecasts |
Antje Weisheimer and Tim Palmer
Coffee Break
Chairperson: Antje Weisheimer
10:30–10:45
EGU2014-1944
Decadal climate prediction for the period 1901-2010 with a coupled climate model
Wolfgang A. Mueller, Holger Pohlmann, Frank Sienz, and Doug Smith
10:45–11:00
EGU2014-11963
Decadal predictability of frost days in the MPI-ESM-LR model
Igor Kröner, Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
11:00–11:15
EGU2014-6914
Latest decadal climate prediction research at the Met Office Hadley Centre
Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Adam Scaife, and Leon Hermanson
11:15–11:30
EGU2014-9783
Do climate indices offer more information on a seasonal to decadal time scale? |
Irina Mahlstein, Christoph Spirig, Mark Liniger, and Christof Appenzeller
11:30–11:45
EGU2014-12360
Evaluating probabilistic decadal forecasts of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclone frequencies
Tim Kruschke, Henning W. Rust, Christopher Kadow, Gregor C. Leckebusch, and Uwe Ulbrich
11:45–12:00
EGU2014-14625
Deterministic and Probabilistic Metrics of Surface Air Temperature and Precipitation in the MiKlip Decadal Prediction System
Christopher Kadow, Sebastian Illing, Oliver Kunst, Holger Pohlmann, Wolfgang Müller, and Ulrich Cubasch