Orals NP8.1
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Friday, 2 May 2014 Room B3 Chairperson: Christian Franzke |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2014-4481
On the impact of stochastic parametrisations in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system Antje Weisheimer, Susanna Corti, Tim Palmer, and Frederic Vitart |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2014-3532
Accounting for model uncertainty in EC-Earth3: impact of SPPT on seasonal forecast quality Lauriane Batté and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2014-3347
Impact of Stochasticity in Simulating Weather Regimes (solicited) Press & Media Tim Palmer, Andrew Dawson, Peter Düben, and Hannah Arnold |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2014-4892
A stochastic parameterization of gravity waves due to convection: formalism and impact Francois Lott and Lionel Guez |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2014-7139
| presentation
Shallow cumuli ensemble statistics for development of a stochastic parameterization Mirjana Sakradzija, Axel Seifert, and Thijs Heus |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2014-5583
A stochastic perturbation theory for non-autonomous systems Woosok Moon and John Wettlaufer |
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Coffee Break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2014-1139
Decadal variability and metastability in the Southern Hemisphere Terence O'Kane, James Risbey, Christian Franzke, Illia Horenko, and Didier Monselesan |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2014-294
Correlated signals and causal transport in ocean circulation Stephen Jeffress |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2014-2482
Atmosphere-ocean interactions at strong couplings in a simple model of El Nino Antonio Navarra, Joe Tribbia, and Giovanni Conti |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2014-5865
On the background state dependency of (palaeo) climate sensitivity Anna von der Heydt, Henk Dijkstra, Peter Köhler, and Roderik van de Wal |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2014-16782
Beyond Climate Sensitivities: Climate Response And Prediction Press & Media Francesco Ragone, Valerio Lucarini, and Frank Lunkeit |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2014-1238
Linear response of the Lyapunov exponent to small external perturbations Rafail Abramov |