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Orals NP8.1

NP8.1

Chaotic and Stochastic Geosciences
Convener: Christian Franzke  | Co-Conveners: Daniel Schertzer , Paul Williams , Petra Friederichs , Antje Weisheimer , Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini , Balasubramanya Nadiga 
Orals
 / Fri, 02 May, 08:30–12:00  / Room B3
Posters
 / Attendance Thu, 01 May, 17:30–19:00  / Blue Posters

Friday, 2 May 2014
Room B3
Chairperson: Christian Franzke
08:30–08:45
EGU2014-4481
On the impact of stochastic parametrisations in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system
Antje Weisheimer, Susanna Corti, Tim Palmer, and Frederic Vitart
08:45–09:00
EGU2014-3532
Accounting for model uncertainty in EC-Earth3: impact of SPPT on seasonal forecast quality
Lauriane Batté and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
09:00–09:15
EGU2014-3347
Impact of Stochasticity in Simulating Weather Regimes (solicited)
Tim Palmer, Andrew Dawson, Peter Düben, and Hannah Arnold
09:15–09:30
EGU2014-4892
A stochastic parameterization of gravity waves due to convection: formalism and impact
Francois Lott and Lionel Guez
09:30–09:45
EGU2014-7139 | presentation
Shallow cumuli ensemble statistics for development of a stochastic parameterization
Mirjana Sakradzija, Axel Seifert, and Thijs Heus
09:45–10:00
EGU2014-5583
A stochastic perturbation theory for non-autonomous systems
Woosok Moon and John Wettlaufer
Coffee Break
10:30–10:45
EGU2014-1139
Decadal variability and metastability in the Southern Hemisphere
Terence O'Kane, James Risbey, Christian Franzke, Illia Horenko, and Didier Monselesan
10:45–11:00
EGU2014-294
Correlated signals and causal transport in ocean circulation
Stephen Jeffress
11:00–11:15
EGU2014-2482
Atmosphere-ocean interactions at strong couplings in a simple model of El Nino
Antonio Navarra, Joe Tribbia, and Giovanni Conti
11:15–11:30
EGU2014-5865
On the background state dependency of (palaeo) climate sensitivity
Anna von der Heydt, Henk Dijkstra, Peter Köhler, and Roderik van de Wal
11:30–11:45
EGU2014-16782
Beyond Climate Sensitivities: Climate Response And Prediction
Francesco Ragone, Valerio Lucarini, and Frank Lunkeit
11:45–12:00
EGU2014-1238
Linear response of the Lyapunov exponent to small external perturbations
Rafail Abramov