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Orals HS1.7

HS1.7

Data & Models, Induction & Prediction, Information & Uncertainty: Towards a common framework for model building and predictions in the Geosciences
Convener: Uwe Ehret  | Co-Conveners: Hoshin Gupta , Rohini Kumar , Steven Weijs , Bodo Ahrens , Erwin Zehe 
Orals
 / Mon, 13 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room G7
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 13 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Red Posters

Monday, 13 April 2015
Room G7
Chairperson: Uwe Ehret, Rohini Kumar
Frameworks for building and evaluating models

08:30–08:45
EGU2015-6965
Progressive evaluation of incorporating information into a model building process: from scratch to FLEX-TOPO
Shervan Gharari, Hoshin Gupta, Markus Hrachowitz, Fabrizio Fenicia, Hongkai Gao, and Hubert Savenije
08:45–09:00
EGU2015-8316
Interactive model evaluation and selection via an optimization-based top-down approach using hydrological signatures
Mahyar Shafii, Nandita Basu, and James Craig
09:00–09:15
EGU2015-7897
Brokering as a framework for hydrological model repeatability
Daniel Fuka, Amy Collick, Charlotte MacAlister, Aaron Braeckel, Dawn Wright, Siri Jodha Khalsa, Enrico Boldrini, and Zachary Easton
09:15–09:30
EGU2015-1065
A framework for the verification of process dynamics with temporal parameter sensitivity analysis
Matthias Pfannerstill, Björn Guse, Dominik Reusser, and Nicola Fohrer
09:30–09:45
EGU2015-13900
When should a model be rejected as not fit-for-purpose?
Keith Beven and Stuart Lane
09:45–10:00
EGU2015-7509
A New Framework for Effective and Efficient Global Sensitivity Analysis of Earth and Environmental Systems Models
Saman Razavi and Hoshin Gupta
Model application: parameter estimation, space-time resolution, ensembles

Coffee Break
10:30–10:45
EGU2015-2084
On the Various (Good and Bad) Ways to Evaluate Bayesian Model Weights
Anneli Schöniger, Thomas Wöhling, Luis Samaniego, and Wolfgang Nowak
10:45–11:00
EGU2015-2394 | presentation
On how to avoid input and structural uncertainties corrupt the inference of hydrological parameters using a Bayesian framework
Mario R. Hernández and Félix Francés
11:00–11:15
EGU2015-2917
Physically coherent probabilistic weather forecasts via discrete copula-based ensemble postprocessing methods
Roman Schefzik, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, and Tilmann Gneiting
11:15–11:30
EGU2015-11226
Partitioning the covariance between space and time to reconcile the controversy in model evaluations
Fubao Sun, Michael Roderick, and Graham Farquhar
11:30–11:45
EGU2015-8679
Linking Time and Space Scales in Distributed Hydrological Modelling – a case study for the VIC model
Lieke Melsen, Adriaan Teuling, Paul Torfs, Massimiliano Zappa, Naoki Mizukami, Martyn Clark, and Remko Uijlenhoet
11:45–12:00
EGU2015-7178
Uncertainty of hydrological signatures predicted for ungauged basins
Ida Westerberg, Gemma Coxon, Thorsten Wagener, Hilary McMillan, Alberto Montanari, Attilio Castellarin, and Jim Freer