Orals CL3.01
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Tuesday, 19 April 2016 Room E2 Chairperson: Mark Liniger |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2016-4319
Improved seasonal prediction of winter NAO through ensemble sub-sampling. (solicited) Mikhail Dobrynin, Daniela I.V. Domeisen, Wolfgang A. Müller, Louisa Bell, Sebastian Brune, Felix Bunzel, Kristina Fröhlich, Holger Pohlmann, and Johanna Baehr |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2016-4345
Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack of) come from? Elsa Mohino and Noel Keenlyside |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2016-14052
Dynamically downscaled multi-model ensemble seasonal forecasts over Ethiopia Shakeel Asharaf, Kristina Fröhlich, Jesus Fernandez, Rita Cardoso, Grigory Nikulin, and Barbara Früh |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2016-17478
An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: A global analysis Emma Suckling, Ed Hawkins, Jonathan Eden, and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2016-2203
The development of climate models: tuning vs. flux corrections Dietmar Dommenget |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2016-9226
Spatial-temporal assessment of climate model drifts Davide Zanchettin, Maeregu Woldeyes Arisido, Carlo Gaetan, and Angelo Rubino |
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Coffee break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2016-5251
Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability in EC-Earth Andrea Alessandri, Franco Catalano, Matteo De Felice, Bart Van Den Hurk, Francisco Doblas Reyes, Souhail Boussetta, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Paul Miller |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2016-984
Exploiting the atmosphere’s memory for monthly, seasonal and interannual temperature forecasting using Scaling LInear Macroweather Model (SLIMM) Lenin Del Rio Amador and Shaun Lovejoy |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2016-2720
Progress towards improving climate prediction by mathematical methods. (withdrawn) Youmin Tang and Xianming Zhang |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2016-15945
Supermodeling by Synchronization of Alternative SPEEDO Models Gregory Duane and Frank Selten |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2016-15413
Understanding independence James Annan and Julia Hargreaves |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2016-5400
Predicting Climate Change using Response Theory: Global Averages and Spatial Patterns Valerio Lucarini, Frank Lunkeit, and Francesco Ragone |