Posters CL3.01
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Attendance Time: Tuesday, 19 April 2016, 17:30–19:00 Hall X3 Chairperson: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes |
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X3.196
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EGU2016-4644
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts with CNRM-CM: model evaluation and perspectives Lauriane Batté, Constantin Ardilouze, Matthieu Chevallier, and Michel Déqué |
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X3.197
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EGU2016-14122
Verification of ECMWF monthly forecasts for the use in hydrological predictions Samuel Monhart, Christoph Spirig, Jonas Bhend, Mark A. Liniger, Konrad Bogner, and Christoph Schär |
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X3.198
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EGU2016-5737
Combination of synoptical-analogous and dynamical methods to increase skill score of monthly air temperature forecasts over Northern Eurasia Valentina Khan, Valery Tscepelev, Roman Vilfand, Irina Kulikova, Ekaterina Kruglova, and Vladimir Tischenko |
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X3.199
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EGU2016-7346
Understanding Dry Bias in the Simulations of Indian Monsoon by CFSv2 Through Analysis of Moisture Transport Sahana Saheer, Amey Pathak, Roxy Mathew, and Subimal Ghosh |
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X3.200
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EGU2016-9832
Impact of the springtime Himalayan-Tibetan Plateau on the onset on the Indian summer monsoon in coupled forecasts Yvan Orsolini, Retish Senan, Antje Weisheimer, Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Timothy Stockdale, and Emanuel Dutra |
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X3.201
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EGU2016-2961
Assessment of seasonal prediction skill of East Asian summer monsoon in CMIP5 Bo Huang, Christopher Kadow, and Ulrich Cubasch |
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X3.202
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EGU2016-8801
Towards an automatic statistical model for seasonal precipitation prediction and its application to Central and South Asian headwater catchments Lars Gerlitz, Abror Gafurov, Heiko Apel, Katy Unger-Sayesteh, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Bruno Merz |
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X3.203
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EGU2016-13201
Positive impact of the new 5-layer soil-hydrology scheme on seasonal prediction skill of 2-meter air temperatures over Europe Felix Bunzel, Wolfgang Müller, Tobias Stacke, Stefan Hagemann, Mikhail Dobrynin, Johanna Baehr, and Kristina Fröhlich |
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X3.204
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EGU2016-14413
An empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction Jonathan Eden, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Ed Hawkins, and Emma Suckling |
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X3.205
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EGU2016-8151
Seasonal predictions of equatorial Atlantic SST in a low-resolution CGCM with surface heat flux correction Tina Dippe, Richard Greatbatch, and Hui Ding |
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X3.206
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EGU2016-17498
Benefits of resolution increase for seasonal forecast quality in EC-Earth Chloé Prodhomme, Lauriane Batté, François Massonnet, Paolo Davini, Virginie Guemas, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes |
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X3.207
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EGU2016-9292
Seasonal Forecasts of Climate Indices: Impact of Definition and Spatial Aggregation on Predictive Skill Jonas Bhend, Irina Mahlstein, and Mark Liniger |
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X3.208
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EGU2016-16659
Evaluation and first forecasts of the German Climate Forecast System 1 (GCFS1) Kristina Fröhlich, Johanna Baehr, Wolfgang Müller, Felix Bunzel, Holger Pohlmann, and Mikhail Dobrynin and the further members of the joint working group on seasonal prediction |
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X3.209
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EGU2016-17150
Seasonal Forecasts for Northern Hemisphere Winter 2015/16 Sarah Ineson, Adam Scaife, Ruth Comer, Nick Dunstone, David Fereday, Chris Folland, Margaret Gordon, Alexey Karpechko, Jeff Knight, Craig MacLachlan, Doug Smith, and Brent Walker |
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X3.210
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EGU2016-9514
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Calibration and combination of seasonal forecast over Southern Europe Eroteida Sanchez, Jose Voces, and Ernesto Rodriguez-Camino |
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X3.211
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EGU2016-4308
A predictive relationship between early season North Atlantic hurricane activity and the upcoming winter North Atlantic Oscillation Jessica Boyd and Mark Saunders |
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X3.212
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EGU2016-13280
Stratified verification of decadal mid-latitude cyclones and wind storms forecasts Jens Grieger, Igor Kröner, Ines Höschel, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich |
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X3.213
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EGU2016-10249
Investigating the potential of SST assimilation for ocean state estimation and climate prediction Noel Keenlyside, Francois Counillon, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang, Sebastien Billeau, Mao-Lin Shen, and Mats Bentsen |
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X3.214
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EGU2016-6966
Predictability over the North Atlantic ocean in hindcast ensembles of MPI-ESM initialized by EnKF and three nudging systems Sebastian Brune, Holger Pohlmann, Andre Düsterhus, Jürgen Kröger, Wolfgang Müller, and Johanna Baehr |
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X3.215
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EGU2016-3960
Decadal predictability of regional scale wind speed and wind energy potentials over Central Europe Julia Moemken, Mark Reyers, Benjamin Buldmann, and Joaquim G. Pinto |
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X3.216
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EGU2016-11537
Decadal prediction with a high resolution model Paul-Arthur Monerie, Sophie Valcke, Laurent Terray, and Marie-Pierre Moine |
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X3.217
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EGU2016-7413
Processes Understanding of Decadal Climate Variability Kerstin Prömmel and Ulrich Cubasch |
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X3.218
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EGU2016-389
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The Relative Contribution of Internal and Model Variabilities to the Uncertainty in Decadal Climate Predictions Ehud Strobach and Golan Bel |
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X3.219
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EGU2016-15714
The role of the tropical West Pacific in the extreme northern hemisphere winter of 2013/14 Peter Watson, Antje Weisheimer, Jeff Knight, and Tim Palmer |
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X3.220
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EGU2016-7876
Comparison of surface freshwater fluxes from different climate forecasts produced through different ensemble generation schemes. Vanya Romanova, Andreas Hense, Sabrina Wahl, Sebastian Brune, and Johanna Baehr |
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X3.221
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EGU2016-11423
Forced synchronization of large-scale circulation to increase predictability of surface states Mao-Lin Shen, Noel Keenlyside, Frank Selten, Wim Wiegerinck, and Gregory Duane |
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X3.222
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EGU2016-10154
Diagnosing model errors associated with convective schemes through a super-model approach Bhuwan Bhatt, Mao-Lin Shen, and Noel Keenlyside |
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X3.223
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EGU2016-18495
Improving predictions by cross pollination in time Francine Schevenhoven and Frank Selten |
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X3.224
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EGU2016-7377
The UK Earth System Model project Yongming Tang |
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X3.225
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EGU2016-11397
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A performance weighting procedure for GCMs based on explicit probabilistic models and accounting for observation uncertainty Benjamin Renard and Jean-Philippe Vidal |
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X3.226
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EGU2016-12422
Development and comparison of weighting metrics for probabilistic climate change projections of Mediterranean precipitation Irena Kaspar-Ott, Elke Hertig, Felix Pollinger, Christoph Ring, Heiko Paeth, and Jucundus Jacobeit |
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X3.227
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EGU2016-483
Evaluation of GCMs in the context of regional predictive climate impact studies. Vasily Kokorev and Oleg Anisimov |
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X3.228
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EGU2016-18498
Bayesian Attractor Learning Wim Wiegerinck, Christiaan Schoenaker, and Gregory Duane |
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X3.229
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EGU2016-1489
A Piecewise Modeling Approach for Sensitivity Studies – Tests with WRF Model Aimei Shao and Chongjian Qiu |