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Orals NP4.1/AS4.13/CL5.06

NP4.1/AS4.13/CL5.06

Time Series Analysis, Prediction, Verification and Inter-Comparison of Geoscientific Observations and Model Data (co-organized)
Conveners: Reik Donner , Valerio Lucarini  | Co-Conveners: Andrea Toreti , Jakob Runge , Marlene Kretschmer , Alexander Feigin , Jürgen Kurths 
Orals
 / Mon, 24 Apr, 10:30–12:00  / 13:30–17:00
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 24 Apr, 17:30–19:00

Monday, 24 April 2017
Room M2
10:30–10:45
EGU2017-5323
The implications of rebasing global mean temperature timeseries for GCM based climate projections
David Stainforth, Sandra Chapman, and Nicholas Watkins
10:45–11:00
EGU2017-1850
Unveiling signatures of interdecadal climate changes by Hilbert analysis
Dario Zappalà, Marcelo Barreiro, and Cristina Masoller
11:00–11:15
EGU2017-8904
Scaling analysis of the observed global temperature data
Suzana Blesic, Davide Zanchettin, and Angelo Rubino
11:15–11:30
EGU2017-2967
Data quantile-quantile plots: quantifying the time evolution of space climatology
Elizabeth Tindale and Sandra Chapman
11:30–11:45
EGU2017-6707
Surrogate methods in geophysics
Bo Christiansen
11:45–12:00
EGU2017-3516
A Half-Cycle Discrete Fourier Transform (HCDFT) for the Improved Identification of Periodic Features in Time-Series
Robin Crockett
Lunch break
13:30–13:45
EGU2017-4582
Nonlinear Dynamics of River Runoff Elucidated by Horizontal Visibility Graphs
Holger Lange and Osvaldo A. Rosso
13:45–14:00
EGU2017-2915
Network Analyses for Space-Time High Frequency Wind Data
Mohamed Laib and Mikhail Kanevski
14:00–14:15
EGU2017-3068
Comparison between stochastic and machine learning methods for hydrological multi-step ahead forecasting: All forecasts are wrong!
Georgia Papacharalampous, Hristos Tyralis, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis
14:15–14:30
EGU2017-4236
Data-adaptive Harmonic Decomposition and Real-time Prediction of Arctic Sea Ice Extent
Dmitri Kondrashov, Mickael Chekroun, and Michael Ghil
14:30–14:45
EGU2017-9895
Bayesian comparison of conceptual models of abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period
Niklas Boers, Michael Ghil, and Denis-Didier Rousseau
14:45–15:00
EGU2017-12505
Modelling fast spreading patterns of airborne infectious diseases using complex networks
Frank Brenner, Norbert Marwan, and Peter Hoffmann
Coffee break
15:30–15:45
EGU2017-1040
Reduced nonlinear prognostic model construction from high-dimensional data
Andrey Gavrilov, Dmitry Mukhin, Evgeny Loskutov, and Alexander Feigin
15:45–16:00
EGU2017-16891
Studying Climate Response to Forcing by the Nonlinear Dynamical Mode Decomposition
Dmitry Mukhin, Andrey Gavrilov, Evgeny Loskutov, and Alexander Feigin
16:00–16:15
EGU2017-9224
Improved Analysis of Earth System Models and Observations using Simple Climate Models
Balasubramanya Nadiga and Nathan Urban
16:15–16:30
EGU2017-7252
Linear response theory applied to geoengineering
Tamas Bodai and Valerio Lucarini
16:30–16:45
EGU2017-5863 | presentation
A proof of concept for scale-adaptive parameterizations: the case of the Lorenz '96 model
Gabriele Vissio and Valerio Lucarini
16:45–17:00
EGU2017-10818
Parameterization of stochastic multiscale triads
Jeroen Wouters, Stamen Dolaptchiev, Valerio Lucarini, and Ulrich Achatz