Orals NP5.3/AS1.2/HS4.8
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NP5.3/AS1.2/HS4.8 Advances in statistical post-processing for deterministic and ensemble forecasts (co-organized) |
| Convener: Stéphane Vannitsem | Co-Conveners: Jakob W. Messner , Daniel S. Wilks |
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Thursday, 27 April 2017 Room M2 |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2017-3739
Development of a post-processing methodology for reliable, skillful probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts with multi-model ensembles and short training data sets. (solicited) Thomas M. Hamill and Michael Scheuerer |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2017-2489
Multivariate Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forcasts of Precipitation and Temperature over four River Basins in California Michael Scheuerer, Thomas M. Hamill, Brett Whitin, Minxue He, and Arthur Henkel |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2017-14552
Statistical post-processing of seasonal multi-model forecasts: Why is it so hard to beat the multi-model mean? Stefan Siegert |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2017-5596
Probabilistic forecasts of extreme local precipitation using HARMONIE predictors and comparing 3 different post-processing methods Kirien Whan and Maurice Schmeits |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2017-5573
Estimation Methods for Non-Homogeneous Regression – Minimum CRPS vs Maximum Likelihood Manuel Gebetsberger, Jakob W. Messner, Georg J. Mayr, and Achim Zeileis |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2017-11237
Improving medium-range ensemble streamflow forecasts through statistical post-processing Pablo Mendoza, Andy Wood, Elizabeth Clark, Bart Nijssen, Martyn Clark, Maria-Helena Ramos, Kenneth Nowak, and Jeffrey Arnold |