PICOs

HS4.3.1 | PICO

This interactive PICO session aims to bridge the gap between science and practice in operational forecasting for different water-related natural hazards. Operational (early) warning systems are the result of progress and innovations in the science of forecasting. New opportunities have risen in physically based modelling, coupling meteorological and hydrological forecasts, and ensemble forecasting. However, once a system is operational, the development often continues more in the field of applied research or consultancy. Furthermore, development of these types of systems is usually performed within one field of expertise. Forecasting warning research can be more effective when these efforts and experiences are combined.

The focus of this session will be on bringing the expertise from different fields together as well as exploring differences, similarities, problems and solutions between forecasting systems for varying natural hazards. Real-world case studies of system implementations - configured at local, regional and national scales - will be presented, including trans-boundary issues. An operational warning system can include monitoring of data, analysing data, making forecasts, giving warning signals and suggesting response measures.

Contributions addressing the following topics are welcome:
- Applications of forecasting warning systems for water-related natural hazards, such as: flood, drought, tsunami, landslide, hurricane etc.
- Applications of forecasting warning systems for other hazards, such as: pollution
- Operational data validation and calibration
- Operational warning methods and procedures
- Real time control for hazards
- The operational system as a tool for improved risk management and decision making
- Performance of operational forecasts, event analysis
- Serious games and training with operational systems
- Structure of operational forecasting systems
- Techniques/applications to better communicate forecasts with users - such as visualization tools and impact assessments
- Impact-based forecasts for early action, response and control.

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Co-organized as NH1.35
Convener: Ilias Pechlivanidis | Co-conveners: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert, Michael Cranston, Femke Davids, Marc van den Homberg, Gabriela Guimarães Nobre
PICOs
| Thu, 11 Apr, 14:00–18:00
 
PICO spot 5b

Thursday, 11 April 2019

PICO spot 5b
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:00–14:02 |
PICO5b.1 |
EGU2019-2731
Charlie Pilling
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:02–14:04 |
PICO5b.2 |
EGU2019-10547
Fernando Mainardi Fan, Ayan dos Santos Fleischmann, Vinicius Alencar Siqueira, Marcela Nectoux, Lucas Giacomelli, and Walter Collischonn
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:04–14:06 |
PICO5b.3 |
EGU2019-16058
Kei Yoshimura, Yuta Ishitsuka, Kenshi Hibino, Dai Yamazaki, Kosuke Yamamoto, Misako Kachi, and Riko Oki
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:06–14:08 |
PICO5b.4 |
EGU2019-17703
Michael Cranston, Gary Martin, and Paul Smith
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:08–14:10 |
PICO5b.5 |
EGU2019-16408
Steven C. Wells, Steven J. Cole, Robert J. Moore, Urooj Khan, Prasantha Hapuarachchi, Mohammad M. Hasan, Nilantha Gamage, Mohammed A. Bari, and Narendra K. Tuteja
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:10–14:12 |
PICO5b.6 |
EGU2019-13778
Daniel Twigt, Jan Verkade, Albrecht Weerts, and Martin Verlaan
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:12–14:14 |
PICO5b.7 |
EGU2019-8197
Maria Laura Poletti, Francesco Silvestro, Silvio Davolio, Flavio Pignone, and Nicola Rebora
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:14–14:16 |
PICO5b.8 |
EGU2019-15430
| Highlight
John Bevington, Barry Hankin, Robert Berry, Andrew Gubbin, Anneka Lowis, Marc Pinnell, Beatriz Revilla-Romero, Kay Shelton, and Elizabeth Wood
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:16–14:18 |
PICO5b.9 |
EGU2019-9846
Shinju Park, Marc Berenguer, and Daniel Sempere-Torres
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:18–14:20 |
PICO5b.10 |
EGU2019-12486
Mamoru Miyamoto, Yosuke Nakamura, Anurak Sriariyawat, and Supattra Visessri
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:20–14:22 |
PICO5b.11 |
EGU2019-15881
Mirianna Budimir, Sarah Brown, Alison Sneddon, Amy Donovan, Puja Shakya, and David Lau
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:22–14:24 |
PICO5b.12 |
EGU2019-14849
Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Matteo Giuliani, Hans de Moel, Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Jeroen Aerts, and Philip Ward
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:24–14:26 |
PICO5b.13 |
EGU2019-15204
Olivier Payrastre, François Bourgin, Olivier Caumont, Veronique Ducrocq, Eric Gaume, Bruno Janet, Pierre Javelle, Dimitri Lague, David Moncoulon, Jean-Philippe Naulin, Charles Perrin, Maria-Helena Ramos, and Isabelle Ruin and the PICS project contributors
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:26–14:28 |
PICO5b.14 |
EGU2019-8271
Linda J. Speight, David L.A. Flack, Christopher J. Skinner, Lee Hawkness-Smith, Greg O’Donnell, Robert J. Thompson, Joanne A. Waller, Albert S. Chen, Jessica Moloney, Chloé Largeron, Xia Xilin, Stephen Blenkinsop, Adrian J. Champion, Matthew T. Perks, Niall Quinn, Hannah L. Cloke, and Sarah L. Dance
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
14:28–14:30 |
PICO5b.15 |
EGU2019-14749
Incorporation of practice-oriented decision contexts into a flood early warning early action system
(withdrawn)
Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Bart van den Hurk, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Ted Veldkamp, Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, and Jeroen Aerts
14:30–15:45
Coffee break
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:15–16:17 |
PICO5b.1 |
EGU2019-17936
Annegien Tijssen and Femke Davids
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:17–16:19 |
PICO5b.2 |
EGU2019-12734
Edward Bolton, Marc van den Homberg, Maurine Ambani, Maarten van der Veen, Jurg Wilbrink, Jimmi Lutete Larsen, Aklilu Teklesadik, Roberto Jaramillo, Jannis Visser, Halima Saado, Michael Osunga, Steve Kenei, Daniel Wanyoike, Sammy Mbuguah, Catalina Jaime, and Irene Amuron
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:19–16:21 |
PICO5b.3 |
EGU2019-17836
Kyriakos Kandris, Evangelos Romas, Apostolos Tzimas, Ilias Pechlivanidis, George Boultadakis, Alkiviadis Giannakoulias, Karin Schenk, Claudia Giardino, and Mariano Bresciani
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:21–16:23 |
PICO5b.4 |
EGU2019-9750
Pierre Nicolle, François Besson, Olivier Delaigue, Didier François, Matthieu Le Lay, Charles Perrin, Fabienne Regimbeau, Dominique Thiéry, François Tilmant, Claire Magand, Thimothée Leurent, and Elise Jacob
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:23–16:25 |
PICO5b.5 |
EGU2019-11473
Linus Magnusson, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Jeff Knight, Hans De Moel, Albrecht Weerts, Bart van den Hurk, Louise Arnal, and Johannes Hunink
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:25–16:27 |
PICO5b.6 |
EGU2019-15275
| Highlight
Christiana Photiadou, Frida Gyllensvärd, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Louise Crochemore, Thomas Bosshard, Berit Arheimer, and Carlo Buontempo
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:27–16:29 |
PICO5b.7 |
EGU2019-15650
Martí Badal, Andrea Manrique-Suñén, Isadora Christel, Luz Calvo, Fernando Cucchietti, Sebastien Nouvellon, Pierre-Antoine Bretonniere, Lluis Palma, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, and Albert Soret
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:29–16:31 |
PICO5b.8 |
EGU2019-7194
Enrico Baglione, Stefano Tinti, and Alberto Armigliato
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:31–16:33 |
PICO5b.9 |
EGU2019-6013
Joan Martí, Armann Hoskuldsson, Bruno Scaillet, Giovanni Macedonio, Antonio Brum, and Patrick Bachellery
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:33–16:35 |
PICO5b.10 |
EGU2019-4789
| presentation
Yang-Ming Fan, Ping-Chang Hsueh, and Chia Chuen Kao
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:35–16:37 |
PICO5b.11 |
EGU2019-5249
Robert Sämann, Insa Neuweiler, and Thomas Graf
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:37–16:39 |
PICO5b.12 |
EGU2019-9771
Damien Decremer
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:39–16:41 |
PICO5b.13 |
EGU2019-15323
Lovro Kalin
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:41–16:43 |
PICO5b.14 |
EGU2019-12573
Marc van den Homberg, Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Ted Veldkamp, Ted Bolton, Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Frank Davenport, Maurine Kasuvu Ambani, Halima Saado Abdillahi, and Jeroen Aerts
Chairperson: Céline Cattoën-Gilbert
16:43–16:45 |
PICO5b.15 |
EGU2019-16120
Marialaura Bancheri, Leonardo Mita, Luciana Giuzio, Nunzia Laguardia, Riccardo Rigon, and Salvatore Manfreda
16:45–18:00