Posters

HS1.2.11

NOTE: We are delighted to have Prof. Emanuele Borgonovo, from Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University as our invited speaker.

Session Description:
Proper characterization of uncertainty remains a major challenge, and is inherent to many aspects of modelling such as structural development, hypothesis testing and parameter estimation, and the adequate characterization of forcing data and initial and boundary conditions. To address this challenge, methods for a) uncertainty analysis (UA) that seek to quantify uncertainty (and how it propagates through a system/model), and b) the closely-related methods for sensitivity analysis (SA) that evaluate the role and significance of uncertain factors (in the functioning of systems/models), have proved to be very helpful.
This session invites contributions that discuss advances, both in theory and/or application, in methods for SA/UA applicable to all Earth and Environmental Systems Models (EESMs). This includes all areas of hydrology, such as classical hydrology, subsurface hydrology and soil science. Topics of interest include (but are not limited to):

1) Novel methods for effective characterization of sensitivity and uncertainty
2) Single- versus Multi-criteria SA/UA
3) Novel methods for spatial and temporal evaluation/analysis of models
4) The role of data information and error on SA/UA (e.g., input/output error, model structure error, etc.)
5) Novel approaches and benchmarking efforts for parameter estimation and data inversion
6) Improving the computational efficiency of SA/UA (efficient sampling, surrogate modelling, parallel computing, model pre-emption, etc.)

Contributions addressing any or all aspects of sensitivity/uncertainty, including those related to structural development, hypothesis testing, parameter estimation, forcing data, and initial and boundary conditions are invited.

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Convener: Amin Haghnegahdar | Co-conveners: Wolfgang Nowak, Cristina Prieto, Thomas Wöhling, Hoshin Gupta
Orals
| Wed, 10 Apr, 16:15–18:00
 
Room C
Posters
| Attendance Wed, 10 Apr, 10:45–12:30
 
Hall A

Attendance time: Wednesday, 10 April 2019, 10:45–12:30 | Hall A

Chairperson: Cristina Prieto, Thomas Wöhling
A.22 |
EGU2019-9438
Lucie Pheulpin, Vito Bacchi, and Nathalie Bertrand
A.23 |
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Tobias Houska, Philipp Kraft, Alejandro Chamorro-Chavez, and Lutz Breuer
A.25 |
EGU2019-5883
Dustin Knabe, Alberto Guadagnini, Monica Riva, and Irina Engelhardt
A.26 |
EGU2019-4547
Trine Enemark, Okke Batelaan, Luk Peeters, and Dirk Mallants
A.28 |
EGU2019-14205
Anna Botto, Matteo Camporese, Giorgio Cassiani, Alex Furman, Pauline Kessouri, and Mario Putti
A.29 |
EGU2019-5301
Fabrizio Fenicia and Marco Dal Molin
A.30 |
EGU2019-17091
Jacob Kidmose, Lars Troldborg, and Jens Christian Refsgaard
A.31 |
EGU2019-11575
Si-Xian Liu, Jyun-Lin Chen, Hong-Ru Lin, Shao-Yang Huang, Tian-Chyi J. Yeh, and Jet-Chau Wen
A.32 |
EGU2019-9452
Peter Radvanyi, Philipp Hoehn, Adrián Flores Orozco, and Thilo Hofmann
A.33 |
EGU2019-15277
Is it possible to reduce prediction uncertainty of Pedotransfer functions by accounting for spatial structure of soil properties
(withdrawn)
Shengping Wang, Peter Strauss, and Guenter Bloeschl
A.34 |
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Thomas Wöhling and Moritz Gosses
A.35 |
EGU2019-3215
Teng Xu, Sebastian Reuschen, Wolfgang Nowak, Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen, and Alberto Guadagnini
A.36 |
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Wolfgang Nowak, Teng Xu, Sebastian Reuschen, Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen, and Alberto Guadagnini
A.37 |
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Andrew Bennett, Bart Nijssen, Martyn Clark, and Grey Nearing
A.38 |
EGU2019-8830
Alejandro Chamorro, Florian Jehn, Tobias Houska, and Lutz Breuer
A.40 |
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Cristina Prieto, Nataliya Le Vine, Dmitri Kavetski, Eduardo García, César Álvarez, and Raúl Medina